Feyenoord – Como: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·UEFA Champions League · League phase · Matchday 2

FeyenoordEredivisie · #1

3-2Wednesday, October 14

ComoSerie A · #4

Match events

FeyenoordComo

18'⚽Assane Diao DiaouneAssist: Jacobo Ramón
20'⚽Gjivai ZechielAssist: Luciano Valente
23'⇄Jesús RodríguezOff: Assane Diao Diaoune
45'⇄Gaoussou Kyassou DiarraOff: Luciano Valente
50'Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra
52'⚽Anis Hadj MoussaAssist: Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra

Chances to win

Feyenoord%34

Draw%25

Como%41

At a glance

Over 1.5

%62Over 2.5

%64Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%64

Como win%41

Under 2.5%38

Not both score%36

Feyenoord win%34

Draw%25

Why?

Feyenoord: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

FeyenoordW2-0W5-0W7-0L1-5W3-1

ComoD0-0L0-2W2-1W4-1W4-1

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Feyenoord · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Como · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Feyenoord · last 10 at home7.8 corners, 1.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners9/10Over 5.5 corners7/10Over 0.5 cards

Como · last 10 away6.0 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners6/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

A. Lahdo

This season 1 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Off the roster

Starting line-ups

Feyenoord · 4-3-3

1T. Ernst

6J. St. Juste

16Javi López

26G. Read

35Mika Màrmol

8G. Zechiël

28O. Targhalline

34C. Vanhoutte

10L. Valente

19Nacho Ferri

23A. Hadj-Moussa

Bench

F. Kastenmeier, L. Bossin, T. Watanabe, M. Deijl, T. Wessels, S. Steijn, T. van den Elshout, T. Kraaijeveld, Gonçalo Borges, G. Diarra, J. Zinhagel, J. Schaken

Como · 4-2-3-1

97Robert Sánchez

3Álex Valle

4Jacobo Ramón Naveros

28I. Smolčić

99T. Chalobah

5M. Perrone

6Luis Milla

11Assane Diao

16Kaiki

20M. Baturina

10N. Paz

Bench

J. Butez, M. Kempf, A. Dossena, Yan Couto, L. da Cunha, S. Ricci, M. Liberali, T. Douvikas, Jesús Rodríguez

60'⇄Lucas Da CunhaOff: Luis Milla

60'⇄Anastasios DouvikasOff: Kaiki Bruno

60'⇄Yan CoutoOff: Ivan Smolcic

79'⇄Tsuyoshi WatanabeOff: Jeremiah St. Juste

79'⇄Tobias van den ElshoutOff: Nacho Ferri

79'⇄Mattia LiberaliOff: Martin Baturina

81'⚽Robert SanchezOwn goal

90+1'⇄Jerayno SchakenOff: Anis Hadj Moussa

90+3'⚽Anastasios Douvikas

Statistics

48%Possession52%

0.61Expected goals1.3

13Total shots11

5Shots on target5

5Corners1

19Fouls18

2Offsides0

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

3Saves3

Como: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Feyenoord scored 2.1 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Como scored 1.7 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Feyenoord · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Como · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Feyenoord: 10 games · Como: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.3Goals scored (avg)2.2

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.1

3.4Total goals per gameleague 3.33.3

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

10/10Over 1.5league %839/10

7/10Over 2.5league %606/10

5/10Over 3.5league %425/10

2/10Over 4.5league %263/10

8/10Both scoreleague %577/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score1/10

Feyenoord: 10 games · Como: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.8Goals scored (avg)2.4

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.1

4.3Total goals per gameleague 3.33.5

10/10Over 0.5league %979/10

9/10Over 1.5league %839/10

7/10Over 2.5league %607/10

7/10Over 3.5league %426/10

5/10Over 4.5league %264/10

6/10Both scoreleague %577/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%18 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Feyenoord win 175, 291 end level and Como win 534. The actual result comes up 175 times in 1000.

Feyenoord: win number 4 in a row.

%34 Our model's pre-match chance of a Feyenoord win.

0.61 – 1.30 The score the chances deserved (xG): Feyenoord 0.61 – 1.30 Como.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Feyenoord · European games

Como · European games

Feyenoord · All games

Como · All games

Missing players

Previous meetings

Model chances

Starting line-ups

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match