Como – AS Roma: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Italy · Matchday 6

ComoSerie A · #4

0-0Sunday, October 11

AS RomaSerie A · #3

Match events

ComoAS Roma

45'⇄Matias SouleOff: Lorenzo Pellegrini
45+2'Assane Diao Diaoune
46'Marten de Roon
53'Donyell Malen
57'Manu Koné
60'⇄Leonardo BalerdiOff: Mario Hermoso

Chances to win

Como%40

Draw%27

AS Roma%33

At a glance

Over 1.5

%57Over 2.5

%62Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%57

Under 2.5%43

Como win%40

Not both score%39

AS Roma win%33

Draw%27

Why?

Como: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

ComoL0-2W2-1W4-1W4-1W2-1

AS RomaD2-2W2-0D1-1W2-1W4-0

Last 4 meetings

2Como won

0Draw

2AS Roma won

2.3
Goals per game2/4
Over 2.52/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Como · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

AS Roma · last 10 away4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Como · last 10 at home6.0 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

AS Roma · last 10 away4.5 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

M. Vigorito, Robert Sánchez, M. Kempf, Álex Valle, A. Dossena, E. Goldaniga, I. Smolčić, Willy Kambwala Ndengushi, Luis Milla, A. Lahdo, M. Baturina, S. Ricci, M. Liberali, Jesús Rodríguez, J. Addai

AS Roma · 3-4-1-2

95P. Gollini

5E. Ndicka

22Hermoso

23G. Mancini

15M. de Roon

17M. Koné

20N. Molina

21P. Dybala

43Wesley

7L. Pellegrini

14D. Malen

Bench

D. Vásquez, G. De Marzi, D. Rensch, L. Balerdi, E. Lulli, D. Ghilardi, N. Pisilli, Rodrigo Mora, S. Castro, M. Soulé

66'⇄Jesús RodríguezOff: Maxence Caqueret

78'⇄Martin BaturinaOff: Lucas Da Cunha

82'⇄Devyne RenschOff: Nahuel Molina

88'⇄Luis MillaOff: Maximo Perrone

88'⇄Jayden AddaiOff: Assane Diao Diaoune

88'⇄Marc-Oliver KempfOff: Yan Couto

89'⇄Emanuele LulliOff: Paulo Dybala

89'⇄Niccolò PisilliOff: Manu Koné

Statistics

66%Possession34%

1.45Expected goals1.12

19Total shots9

4Shots on target2

6Corners2

9Fouls9

0Offsides3

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards1

2Saves4

AS Roma: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Como scored 2.1 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

AS Roma scored 1.9 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Como · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

AS Roma · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

Como: 10 games · AS Roma: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.3Goals scored (avg)2.0

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.23.3

8/10Over 0.5league %989/10

7/10Over 1.5league %869/10

6/10Over 2.5league %605/10

4/10Over 3.5league %344/10

4/10Over 4.5league %213/10

5/10Both scoreleague %585/10

5/10Clean sheets5/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

Como: 10 games · AS Roma: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.4Goals scored (avg)2.3

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.23.6

9/10Over 0.5league %989/10

9/10Over 1.5league %869/10

7/10Over 2.5league %606/10

6/10Over 3.5league %345/10

4/10Over 4.5league %213/10

7/10Both scoreleague %586/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%26 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Como win 447, 261 end level and AS Roma win 292. The actual result comes up 261 times in 1000.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.45 – 1.12 The score the chances deserved (xG): Como 1.45 – 1.12 AS Roma.

19 – 9 Shots: Como 19 – 9 AS Roma.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Como · Serie A

AS Roma · Serie A

Como · All games

AS Roma · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Como's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match