PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eredivisie · Netherlands · Matchday 8

PSV EindhovenEredivisie · #3

2-0Friday, October 9

HeerenveenEredivisie · #7

Match events

PSV EindhovenHeerenveen

29'⚽Guus Til
42'Armando Obispo
60'marcus linday
64'⇄Marko FarjiOff: Maxence Rivera
64'⇄Ringo MeerveldOff: Levi Smans
65'⇄Ivan PerišićOff: Esmir Bajraktarević
65'

Chances to win

PSV Eindhoven%70

Draw%16

Heerenveen%14

At a glance

Over 1.5

%78Over 2.5

%68Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%78Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 8.Missed

Other scenarios

PSV Eindhoven win%70

Both score%68

Not both score%32

Under 2.5%22

Draw%16

Heerenveen win%14

Why?

PSV Eindhoven: 3+ goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

PSV EindhovenL2-3W4-1D1-1W3-1W6-1

HeerenveenW4-0D0-0L2-3D2-2L0-2

Last 9 meetings

7PSV Eindhoven won

1Draw

1Heerenveen won

3.6
Goals per game5/9
Over 2.54/9
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

PSV Eindhoven · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Heerenveen · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

PSV Eindhoven · last 10 at home7.1 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Heerenveen · last 10 away4.8 corners, 0.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards7/10Over 1.5 cards1/10

Bench

N. Olij, Khadim Ngom, L. Geertruida, Yarek Gasiorowski, F. Kostić, A. Santos, S. Cornecion, I. Perišić, M. Hansen, D. Man, A. Bouhamdi

Heerenveen · 4-2-3-1

22B. Klaverboer

3M. Willemsen

4S. Kersten

19V. Zagaritis

45O. Braude

7M. Rivera

14L. Smans

16M. Linday

20J. Trenskow

36N. Courtens

9D. Vente

Bench

T. Schreuder, A. Noppert, M. Hilgers, M. Egbring, D. Bladi, H. Petrov, J. Scholten, R. Meerveld, L. Oyen, R. Uldriķis, M. Farji, L. Machine

Heerenveen – PSV EindhovenDecember 14, 2024 · Eredivisie1-0

Heerenveen – PSV EindhovenApril 25, 2024 · Eredivisie0-8

PSV Eindhoven – HeerenveenDecember 7, 2023 · Eredivisie2-0

PSV Eindhoven – HeerenveenMay 21, 2023 · Eredivisie3-3

Heerenveen – PSV EindhovenOctober 9, 2022 · Eredivisie0-1

Filip KostićOff: Noah Fernandez

65'⇄Yarek GasiorowskiOff: Armando Obispo

68'⚽marcus lindayOwn goal

75'⇄Mats EgbringOff: Oliver Johansen Braude

75'⇄Lanroy MachineOff: Dylan Vente

83'⇄Shuryjano CornecionOff: Mauro Júnior

83'⇄Ayoni SantosOff: Ruben van Bommel

83'⇄Luca OyenOff: Nolhan courtens

Statistics

55%Possession45%

1.64Expected goals1.58

15Total shots12

2Shots on target5

4Corners6

19Fouls10

1Offsides0

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

5Saves0

Heerenveen: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

PSV Eindhoven scored 3.1 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Heerenveen scored 1.7 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

PSV Eindhoven · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 9 times9/10

Heerenveen · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

PSV Eindhoven: 10 games · Heerenveen: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

3.0Goals scored (avg)1.7

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.6

4.5Total goals per gameleague 3.83.3

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

10/10Over 1.5league %9110/10

7/10Over 2.5league %736/10

7/10Over 3.5league %615/10

5/10Over 4.5league %322/10

8/10Both scoreleague %724/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

PSV Eindhoven: 10 games · Heerenveen: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.83.2

10/10Over 0.5league %999/10

8/10Over 1.5league %919/10

5/10Over 2.5league %736/10

4/10Over 3.5league %616/10

3/10Over 4.5league %322/10

7/10Both scoreleague %724/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%40 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), PSV Eindhoven win 396, 233 end level and Heerenveen win 371. The actual result comes up 396 times in 1000.

1.64 – 1.58 The score the chances deserved (xG): PSV Eindhoven 1.64 – 1.58 Heerenveen.

8.1

Man of the match: M. Kovář (PSV Eindhoven), rated 8.1.

%70 Our model's pre-match chance of a PSV Eindhoven win.

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 9 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

Heerenveen · Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven · All games

Heerenveen · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at PSV Eindhoven's ground

Last 9 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match