Lecce – Juventus: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Italy · Matchday 8

LecceSerie A · #14

0-2Sunday, October 25

JuventusSerie A · #8

Match events

LecceJuventus

29'⚽Weston McKennieAssist: Douglas Luiz Soares
41'⚽Douglas Luiz SoaresAssist: Federico Gatti
45'⇄Joel Almada MonteiroOff: Amar Fatah
45'⇄Jamil SiebertOff: Mohamed Kaba
60'⇄Corrie NdabaOff: Tiago Gabriel
68'⇄Juan CabalOff: Andrea Cambiaso

Chances to win

Lecce%15

Draw%23

Juventus%62

At a glance

Over 1.5

%53Over 2.5

%50Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Juventus win.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%53

Not both score%50

Both score%50

Under 2.5%47

Draw%23

Lecce win%15

Why?

Juventus won 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Last 5 matches

LecceW3-0L1-2L0-3W3-2L0-1

JuventusD2-2L0-3W2-1D1-1W2-0

Last 14 meetings

1Lecce won

4Draw

9Juventus won

2.2
Goals per game5/14
Over 2.56/14
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Lecce · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Juventus · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Lecce · last 10 at home3.8 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

Juventus · last 10 away6.3 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners7/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Lecce · 4-3-3

30W. Falcone

4Kialonda Gaspar

17Danilo Veiga

25A. Gallo

44Tiago Gabriel

14Y. Maleh

77M. Kaba

79O. Ngom

7A. Ahmed Fatah

11K. N’Dri

69W. Geubbels

Bench

M. Bleve, A. Borbei, A. Dembélé, C. Ndaba, G. Jean, E. Scott, S. Fofana, O. Gandelman, Olaf Gorter, N. Štulić, Paco Esteban, Joël Monteiro

Juventus · 3-4-1-2

25G. Vicario

3Bremer

15P. Kalulu

26J. Lucumí

4F. Gatti

8T. Koopmeiners

12Douglas Luiz

20A. Cambiaso

22W. McKennie

9R. Kolo Muani

27N. Woltemade

Bench

C. Pinsoglio, Neto, L. Kelly, D. Rugani, J. Cabal, P. Sarr, E. Zhegrova, J. Boga, Kerim-Sam Alajbegović

Lecce – JuventusJanuary 21, 2024 · Serie A

Juventus – LecceSeptember 26, 2023 · Serie A1-0

Juventus – LecceMay 3, 2023 · Serie A2-1

Lecce – JuventusOctober 29, 2022 · Serie A0-1

Juventus – LecceJune 26, 2020 · Serie A4-0

Lecce – JuventusOctober 26, 2019 · Serie A1-1

Juventus – LecceMay 2, 2012 · Serie A1-1

Lecce – JuventusJanuary 8, 2012 · Serie A0-1

Lecce – JuventusFebruary 20, 2011 · Serie A2-0

Juventus – LecceOctober 17, 2010 · Serie A4-0

68'⇄Jérémie BogaOff: Randal Kolo Muani

71'⇄Paco EstebanOff: Willem Geubbels

83'⇄Pape Matar SarrOff: Douglas Luiz Soares

86'⇄Nikola StulicOff: Konan N'Dri

90'⇄Kerim AlajbegovicOff: Weston McKennie

90+4'Kialonda Gaspar

Statistics

42%Possession58%

1.02Expected goals1.13

16Total shots8

4Shots on target2

5Corners3

10Fouls12

2Offsides4

0Yellow cards0

1Red cards0

0Saves4

Lecce scored 1.0 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Juventus scored 1.4 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Lecce · last 10 at home: 5 defeats5/10

Juventus · last 10 away: 5 wins5/10

Lecce: 10 games · Juventus: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.8Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.22.1

10/10Over 0.5league %989/10

8/10Over 1.5league %866/10

5/10Over 2.5league %603/10

2/10Over 3.5league %342/10

1/10Over 4.5league %211/10

4/10Both scoreleague %584/10

1/10Clean sheets5/10

5/10Failed to score2/10

Lecce: 10 games · Juventus: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.7

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.23.0

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8610/10

6/10Over 2.5league %605/10

3/10Over 3.5league %343/10

2/10Over 4.5league %212/10

3/10Both scoreleague %585/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

5/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%38 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Lecce win 325, 295 end level and Juventus win 381. The actual result comes up 381 times in 1000.

16 – 8 Shots: Lecce 16 – 8 Juventus.

1.02 – 1.13 The score the chances deserved (xG): Lecce 1.02 – 1.13 Juventus.

9.0

Man of the match: Douglas Luiz (Juventus), rated 9.0.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 14 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Lecce · Serie A

Juventus · Serie A

Lecce · All games

Juventus · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Lecce's ground

Last 14 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Starting line-ups

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match