Lecce – Bologna: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Italy · Matchday 6

LecceSerie A · #14

1-2Sunday, October 11

BolognaSerie A · #11

Match events

LecceBologna

10'Ivan Ilić
17'⚽Riccardo OrsoliniAssist: Nicolo Cambiaghi
31'Paco Esteban
36'⇄Oumar NgomOff: Ivan Ilić
44'Torbjørn Heggem
45+2'Youssef Maleh
55'

Chances to win

Lecce%24

Draw%29

Bologna%47

At a glance

Over 1.5

%44Over 2.5

%49Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%51

Both score%49

Bologna win%47

Over 2.5%44

Draw%29

Lecce win%24

Why?

Lecce: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

LecceL0-3W3-2L0-1L0-4W2-0

BolognaD1-1L0-1D2-2L0-1L0-1

Last 8 meetings

0Lecce won

3Draw

5Bologna won

2.5
Goals per game3/8
Over 2.53/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Lecce · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Bologna · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Lecce · last 10 at home3.2 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners

Bologna · last 10 away2.7 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners1/10Over 5.5 corners0/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

Bench

M. Bleve, A. Borbei, A. Dembélé, C. Ndaba, Kialonda Gaspar, G. Jean, S. Fofana, O. Gandelman, Olaf Gorter, M. Kaba, O. Ngom, K. N’Dri, W. Geubbels, Joël Monteiro

Bologna · 3-4-2-1

25M. Pessina

14T. Heggem

16N. Casale

20N. Zortea

4T. Pobega

7R. Orsolini

19L. Ferguson

28N. Cambiaghi

33Juan Miranda

36M. Darmian

91R. Piccoli

Bench

Ł. Skorupski, U. Happonen, E. Helland, R. Alhassane, L. De Silvestri, M. Vitík, N. Moro, M. Amondarain, O. El Azzouzi, M. Libra, A. Dovbyk, F. Bernardeschi, J. Enem

Bologna – LecceFebruary 11, 2024 · Serie A

Lecce – BolognaDecember 3, 2023 · Serie A1-1

Lecce – BolognaJune 4, 2023 · Serie A2-3

Bologna – LecceOctober 23, 2022 · Serie A2-0

Eivind HellandOff: Torbjørn Heggem

62'⇄Willem GeubbelsOff: Paco Esteban

62'⇄Jay EnemOff: Roberto Piccoli

62'⇄Konan N'DriOff: Santiago Pierotti

62'⇄Oussama El AzzouziOff: Tommaso Pobega

64'⚽Amar FatahAssist: Danilo Veiga

75'⚽Jay EnemAssist: Nicolo Cambiaghi

79'⇄Joel Almada MonteiroOff: Amar Fatah

79'⇄Omri GandelmanOff: Youssef Maleh

81'⇄Federico BernardeschiOff: Nicolo Cambiaghi

81'⇄Rahim AlhassaneOff: Juan Miranda

90+4'Oussama El Azzouzi

Statistics

57%Possession43%

1.01Expected goals1.55

19Total shots10

5Shots on target5

10Corners3

17Fouls8

1Offsides4

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

3Saves4

Bologna: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Lecce scored 0.9 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Bologna scored 1.1 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Lecce · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Bologna · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Lecce: 10 games · Bologna: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.22.8

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

8/10Over 1.5league %867/10

5/10Over 2.5league %605/10

2/10Over 3.5league %343/10

1/10Over 4.5league %212/10

4/10Both scoreleague %584/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

5/10Failed to score4/10

Lecce: 10 games · Bologna: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.4

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.22.7

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

9/10Over 1.5league %867/10

6/10Over 2.5league %605/10

3/10Over 3.5league %343/10

2/10Over 4.5league %211/10

3/10Both scoreleague %586/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

5/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Bologna: a 6-match wait for a win is over.

%50 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Lecce win 247, 255 end level and Bologna win 498. The actual result comes up 498 times in 1000.

10 – 3 Corners: Lecce 10 – 3 Bologna.

1.01 – 1.55 The score the chances deserved (xG): Lecce 1.01 – 1.55 Bologna.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Lecce · Serie A

Bologna · Serie A

Lecce · All games

Bologna · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Lecce's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match