Juventus – Lazio: probabilities, statistics and live score

JuventusSerie A · #9

0-3Sunday, October 18

LazioSerie A · #1

Match events

JuventusLazio

37'⚽O. ProvstgaardAssist: M. Zaccagni
41'Kenneth Taylor
46'⇄N. WoltemadeOff: K. Alajbegovic
48'Mattia Zaccagni
66'⚽G. IsaksenAssist: N. Tavares
67'⇄E. ZhegrovaOff: N. Gonzalez

Chances to win

Juventus%59

Draw%24

Lazio%17

At a glance

Over 1.5

%50Over 2.5

%49Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

JuventusW2-1D1-1W2-0W5-0L2-3

LazioW3-1W2-0D2-2W2-1W

Last 11 meetings

5Juventus won

2Draw

4Lazio won

2.3
Goals per game5/11
Over 2.55/11
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Juventus · last 10 at home6/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Lazio · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Juventus · last 10 at home6.5 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

Juventus · 3-4-2-1

25G. Vicario

3Bremer

15P. Kalulu

26J. Lucumí

2Z. Çelik

12Douglas Luiz

17Kerim-Sam Alajbegović

22W. McKennie

29P. Sarr

31N. González

9R. Kolo Muani

Bench

C. Pinsoglio, Neto, F. Gatti, L. Kelly, A. Cambiaso, D. Rugani, J. Cabal, T. Koopmeiners, Francisco Conceição, E. Zhegrova, J. Boga, N. Woltemade

Lazio · 4-3-3

35C. Mandas

15R. Floriani Mussolini

17Nuno Tavares

25O. Provstgaard

37J. Šutalo

16D. Frattesi

21R. Belahyane

24K. Taylor

10M. Zaccagni

11G. Isaksen

14T. Noslin

Bench

E. Motta, D. Renzetti, Diogo Leite, L. Pellegrini, D. Doekhi, Pedraza, F. Dele-Bashiru, A. Przyborek, M. Lazzari, D. Cataldi, V. Farcomeni, A. Pinamonti, F. Serra

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Juventus win.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%51

Under 2.5%50

Over 2.5%50

Both score%49

Draw%24

Lazio win%17

Why?

Juventus · last 10 at home: 6 wins6/10

Juventus won 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Juventus scored 2.0 and conceded 0.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Lazio scored 1.2 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Juventus: 10 games · Lazio: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.9

0.9Goals conceded (avg)0.8

2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.22.7

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

10/10Over 1.5league %868/10

3/10Over 2.5league %614/10

2/10Over 3.5league %361/10

1/10Over 4.5league %221/10

3/10Both scoreleague %594/10

5/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

Juventus: 10 games · Lazio: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)2.2

1.3Goals conceded (avg)0.9

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.23.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

10/10Over 1.5league %868/10

5/10Over 2.5league %616/10

3/10Over 3.5league %363/10

2/10Over 4.5league %221/10

5/10Both scoreleague %595/10

3/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

0.75 – 0.55 The score the chances deserved (xG): Juventus 0.75 – 0.55 Lazio.

%24 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Juventus win 363, 397 end level and Lazio win 240. The actual result comes up 240 times in 1000.

%17 Our model's pre-match chance of an Lazio win.

8.5

Man of the match: O. Provstgaard (Lazio), rated 8.5.

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 11 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

This fixture at Juventus's ground

Last 11 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Juventus · Serie A

Lazio · Serie A

Juventus · All games

Lazio · All games

Starting line-ups

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match