Kozakken Boys – Utrecht: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·KNVB Beker · Netherlands · Round of 64

Kozakken BoysTweede Divisie · #4

0-1Thursday, October 29

UtrechtEredivisie · #11

Match events

Kozakken BoysUtrecht

38'⚽N. PanagiotouAssist: O. Agougil
61'⇄M. HassanOff: M. van den Berg
61'⇄M. BroholmOff: S. van Duijn
61'⇄A. StepanovOff: A. Alarcon
71'⇄M. MaleticOff: S. Hop
71'⇄J. LommersOff: D. Versluis

Chances to win

Kozakken Boys%16

Draw%19

Utrecht%65

At a glance

Over 1.5

%66Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%66Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Missed

Other scenarios

Utrecht win%65

Both score%59

Not both score%41

Under 2.5%34

Draw%19

Kozakken Boys win%16

Why?

Kozakken Boys: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Kozakken BoysL0-1D0-0W2-0W5-1D1-1

UtrechtD1-1W2-1W3-1L0-5W2-1

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Kozakken Boys · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Utrecht · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Utrecht · last 10 away3.8 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

Bench

Mees Eppink, Kevin Gadellaa, Siebe Horemans, Guus Offerhaus, Jakov Medić, Neville Nwankwo, Per Kloosterboer, Davy van den Berg, Artem Stepanov, Adrian Blake, Nordin Amrabat, Marius Broholm

81'⇄S. HoremansOff: N. Vesterlund

81'⇄N. AmrabatOff: O. Agougil

Statistics

47%Possession53%

15Total shots8

3Shots on target3

5Corners8

13Fouls11

2Offsides0

2Saves3

82%Pass accuracy82%

Utrecht: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

Kozakken Boys scored 1.8 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Utrecht scored 1.5 and conceded 2.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Kozakken Boys · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Utrecht · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Kozakken Boys: 10 games · Utrecht: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.1Goals conceded (avg)2.2

2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.73.6

9/10Over 0.5league %979/10

7/10Over 1.5league %868/10

5/10Over 2.5league %648/10

3/10Over 3.5league %494/10

2/10Over 4.5league %284/10

6/10Both scoreleague %536/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

Kozakken Boys: 10 games · Utrecht: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.3Goals scored (avg)1.7

0.8Goals conceded (avg)2.5

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.74.2

9/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

7/10Over 1.5league %869/10

5/10Over 2.5league %648/10

3/10Over 3.5league %496/10

3/10Over 4.5league %285/10

6/10Both scoreleague %538/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

8.3

Man of the match: Nikolas Panagiotou (Utrecht), rated 8.3.

%65 Our model's pre-match chance of an Utrecht win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Kozakken Boys · All games

Utrecht · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match