The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Bayer Leverkusen win.
%73Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Over 2.5%73
Both score%60
Not both score%40
Under 2.5%27
Draw%16
1. FC Nürnberg win%11
Why?
Bayer Leverkusen won 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Bayer LeverkusenL0-3W2-0W2-1W4-0W4-3
1. FC NürnbergL0-1D1-1D4-4W1-0W2-1
Last 10 meetings
6Bayer Leverkusen won
2Draw
21. FC Nürnberg won
2.4 Goals per game4/10 Over 2.53/10 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Bayer Leverkusen · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.
1. FC Nürnberg · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Bayer Leverkusen · last 10 at home7.6 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners10/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners7/10
Referee
Felix Zwayer4.9 cards a match in 40 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Bayer Leverkusen · All games
7W 1D 2LScored 24 · conceded 122.5 Üst 7/10KG 4/10
1. FC Nürnberg · All games
5W 4D 1LScored 22 · conceded 132.5 Üst 6/10KG 7/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Bayer Leverkusen · 4-2-3-1
28J. Blaswich
2F. Medina
3Miguel Gutiérrez
12E. Tapsoba
17Lucas Vázquez
7J. Hofmann
8R. Andrich
9Afonso Moreira
10M. Tillman
24Aleix García
23N. Tella
Bench
M. Flekken, J. Quansah, T. Oermann, E. Fernández, I. Maza, K. Doganay, M. Culbreath, P. Schick, V. Boniface
1. FC Nürnberg · 4-2-3-1
1J. Reichert
4
This fixture at Bayer Leverkusen's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 5
3Bayer Leverkusen won
1Draw
11. FC Nürnberg won
Bayer Leverkusen last won here on Apr 20, 2019: Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 FC Nurnberg.1. FC Nürnberg last won here on Dec 17, 2011: Bayer Leverkusen 0-3 FC Nurnberg.1.8 goals a game here · over 2.5 2/5 · BTTS 0/5
Last 10 meetings
6Bayer Leverkusen won
2Draw
21. FC Nürnberg won
2.4 Goals per game4/10 Over 2.53/10 Both score
Previous meetings
Bayer Leverkusen – FC NurnbergApril 20, 2019 · Bundesliga2-0
FC Nurnberg – Bayer LeverkusenDecember 3, 2018 · Bundesliga1-1
FC Nurnberg – Bayer LeverkusenApril 20, 2014 · Bundesliga1-4
Bayer Leverkusen – FC Nurnberg
Over 0.5 cards
8/10
Over 1.5 cards5/10
1. FC Nürnberg · last 10 away4.9 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards8/10
Bayer Leverkusen: 10 games · 1. FC Nürnberg: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
2.7Goals scored (avg)1.7
1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.7
3.9Total goals per gameleague 4.13.4
10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10
10/10Over 1.5league %969/10
6/10Over 2.5league %714/10
4/10Over 3.5league %564/10
3/10Over 4.5league %383/10
6/10Both scoreleague %509/10
3/10Clean sheets1/10
1/10Failed to score0/10
Bayer Leverkusen: 10 games · 1. FC Nürnberg: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
2.7Goals scored (avg)2.1
1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.8
3.8Total goals per gameleague 4.13.9
10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10
10/10Over 1.5league %968/10
7/10Over 2.5league %716/10
5/10Over 3.5league %565/10
2/10Over 4.5league %384/10
4/10Both scoreleague %508/10
5/10Clean sheets1/10
1/10Failed to score1/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
%79 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Bayer Leverkusen win 785, 125 end level and 1. FC Nürnberg win 90. The actual result comes up 785 times in 1000.
3.11 – 1.02 The score the chances deserved (xG): Bayer Leverkusen 3.11 – 1.02 1. FC Nürnberg.