OFI – Bayer Leverkusen: probabilities, statistics and live score

OFISuper League · #6

0-2Thursday, October 22

Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga · #6

Match events

OFIBayer Leverkusen

15'Carles Martínez Novell
25'Aleix García
35'⚽Jonas Hofmann
38'⚽Jonas HofmannAssist: Malik Tillman
61'⇄Taxiarchis FountasOff: Kenan Kodro
63'⇄Miguel GutiérrezOff: Facundo Medina

Chances to win

OFI%8

Draw%14

Bayer Leverkusen%78

At a glance

Over 1.5

%70Over 2.5

%52Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

OFIL3-4L1-2L0-3D2-2W2-0

Bayer LeverkusenW2-1W4-0W4-3W2-0W

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

OFI · last 10 at home7/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 6 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Bayer Leverkusen · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

OFI · last 9 at home2.9 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/9Over 4.5 corners2/9Over 5.5 corners

Starting line-ups

OFI · 3-4-3

1K. Lilo

2K. Krizmanić

5K. Kostoulas

15A. Poungouras

3N. Athanasiou

14T. Androutsos

24L. Dickmann

41A. Bouchalakis

10Aitor Cantalapiedra

18T. Nuss

19K. Kodro

Bench

P. Katsikas, Borja González, D. Nikolaou, Pavlos Kenourgiakis, Z. Karachalios, G. Kanellópoulos, G. Apostolakis, T. Fountas, T. Romano, G. Theodosoulakis, Thanasis Sitmalidis

Bayer Leverkusen · 4-2-3-1

28J. Blaswich

2F. Medina

4J. Quansah

5L. Badé

17Lucas Vázquez

6E. Fernández

7J. Hofmann

9Afonso Moreira

10M. Tillman

24Aleix García

14P. Schick

Bench

M. Flekken, N. Lomb, Miguel Gutiérrez, E. Tapsoba, B. Hawighorst, I. Maza, M. Diaby, N. Tella

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Bayer Leverkusen win.

%78Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 8.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%70

Both score%52

Not both score%48

Under 2.5%30

Draw%14

OFI win%8

Why?

Bayer Leverkusen · last 10 away: 5 wins5/10

Bayer Leverkusen won 5 of their last 10 away matches.
OFI scored 1.9 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Bayer Leverkusen scored 2.3 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

OFI: 10 games · Bayer Leverkusen: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)2.2

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.7Total goals per gameleague 2.93.7

10/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

10/10Over 1.5league %769/10

5/10Over 2.5league %608/10

2/10Over 3.5league %336/10

0/10Over 4.5league %172/10

3/10Both scoreleague %465/10

5/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

OFI: 10 games · Bayer Leverkusen: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)2.5

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.9Total goals per gameleague 2.94.0

10/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

8/10Over 1.5league %7610/10

6/10Over 2.5league %607/10

2/10Over 3.5league %335/10

1/10Over 4.5league %173/10

4/10Both scoreleague %465/10

3/10Clean sheets4/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Bayer Leverkusen: win number 6 in a row.

%92 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), OFI win 15, 69 end level and Bayer Leverkusen win 915. The actual result comes up 915 times in 1000.

0.27 – 3.11 The score the chances deserved (xG): OFI 0.27 – 3.11 Bayer Leverkusen.

6 – 33 Shots: OFI 6 – 33 Bayer Leverkusen.

4 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Previous meetings

Model chances

OFI · European games

Bayer Leverkusen · European games

OFI · All games

Bayer Leverkusen · All games

Starting line-ups

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match