The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%68Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Both score%69
1. FC Nürnberg win%39
VfL Wolfsburg win%37
Under 2.5%32
Not both score%31
Draw%24
Why?
1. FC Nürnberg: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
1. FC NürnbergW1-0W2-1D2-2W4-1D1-1
VfL WolfsburgW5-1L0-1D4-4W5-2D2-2
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
1. FC Nürnberg · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 6 of the 6 games it led at half-time.
VfL Wolfsburg · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
1. FC Nürnberg · last 10 at home5.3 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners
Referee
Lars Erbst4.2 cards a match in 10 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga
7W 3D 0LScored 24 · conceded 102.5 Üst 7/10KG 6/10
VfL Wolfsburg · 2. Bundesliga
3W 2D 1LScored 15 · conceded 82.5 Üst 3/6KG 3/6
1. FC Nürnberg · All games
6W 4D 0LScored 24 · conceded 112.5 Üst 7/10KG 7/10
VfL Wolfsburg · All games
4W 5D 1LScored 21 · conceded 122.5 Üst 5/10KG 6/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
1. FC Nürnberg · 4-2-3-1
1J. Reichert
4A. Kalogeropoulos
20F. Otto
32T. Janisch
41E. Porstner
6A. Marhiev
7R. Ghrieb
8J. Fernandez
10J. Justvan
23M. Zoma
19P. Scobel
Bench
Robin Lisewski, G. Masouras, K. El Haija, Rafael Lubach, M. Kornwachs Barjuan, S. Haugen, W. Bøving, Can Yaha Moustfa
1. FC Nürnberg · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10
VfL Wolfsburg · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10
1. FC Nürnberg: 10 games · VfL Wolfsburg: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
2.0Goals scored (avg)2.0
1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.6
3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.03.6
10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10
7/10Over 1.5league %768/10
6/10Over 2.5league %575/10
2/10Over 3.5league %335/10
2/10Over 4.5league %163/10
3/10Both scoreleague %578/10
4/10Clean sheets1/10
3/10Failed to score1/10
1. FC Nürnberg: 10 games · VfL Wolfsburg: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
2.1Goals scored (avg)2.7
1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.9
3.9Total goals per gameleague 3.04.6
10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10
8/10Over 1.5league %768/10
6/10Over 2.5league %577/10
5/10Over 3.5league %337/10
4/10Over 4.5league %165/10
8/10Both scoreleague %578/10
1/10Clean sheets1/10
1/10Failed to score1/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
%14 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), 1. FC Nürnberg win 213, 144 end level and VfL Wolfsburg win 643. The actual result comes up 144 times in 1000.
%24 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.
2.25 – 3.65 The score the chances deserved (xG): 1. FC Nürnberg 2.25 – 3.65 VfL Wolfsburg.
8.7 Man of the match: P. Scobel (1. FC Nürnberg), rated 8.7.
1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga · #2
VfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga · #4