Virtus Entella – Avellino: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Italy · Matchday 9

Virtus EntellaSerie B · #12

1-1Tuesday, October 27

AvellinoSerie B · #10

Match events

Virtus EntellaAvellino

27'⚽M TirelliAssist: Stefano Di Mario
45'Patrick Enrici
57'M. Alborghetti
58'⇄Martin PalumboOff: Giacomo Faticanti
58'⇄Raffaele RussoOff: Tommaso Biasci
58'⇄Michele BesaggioOff: Dimitrios Sounas

Chances to win

Virtus Entella%47

Draw%29

Avellino%24

At a glance

Over 1.5

%45Over 2.5

%50Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%50

Both score%50

Virtus Entella win%47

Over 2.5%45

Draw%29

Avellino win%24

Why?

Virtus Entella: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Virtus EntellaL0-1W2-1D1-1D0-0W4-1

AvellinoL0-1D1-1W4-1L1-3D1-1

Last 7 meetings

1Virtus Entella won

4Draw

2Avellino won

2.1
Goals per game2/7
Over 2.54/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Virtus Entella · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Avellino · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Virtus Entella · last 10 at home5.0 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners

Avellino · last 10 away2.6 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners0/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

A. Iannarilli, M. Sala, A. Di Bitonto, T. Cancellotti, L. Šimić, L. Palmiero, M. Palumbo, E. Adamo, M. Besaggio, L. Pandolfi, W. Cheddira, R. Russo

Avellino – Virtus EntellaNovember 11, 2017 · Serie B0-0

Avellino – Virtus EntellaJanuary 28, 2017 · Serie B2-2

Virtus Entella – AvellinoSeptember 4, 2016 · Serie B2-0

Francesco MezzoniOff: Tommaso Annoni

59'⇄Bernat GuiuOff: Luigi Cuppone

71'⇄Emanuele AdamoOff: Filippo Missori

72'⇄Leonardo BenedettiOff: M Tirelli

76'VARL. Di MaggioGoal cancelled

84'⇄Luca PandolfiOff: L. Di Maggio

89'⇄R. TurricchiaOff: Niccolo Squizzato

89'⇄Giacomo CoronaOff: Stefano Di Mario

90+4'⚽Emanuele AdamoAssist: Armando Izzo

Statistics

36%Possession64%

0.61Expected goals0.88

11Total shots17

5Shots on target2

1Corners4

15Fouls15

3Offsides2

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

1Saves4

Avellino: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Virtus Entella scored 1.4 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Avellino scored 0.8 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Avellino · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Virtus Entella: 10 games · Avellino: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)0.7

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.6

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.72.3

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

8/10Over 1.5league %808/10

5/10Over 2.5league %524/10

1/10Over 3.5league %241/10

0/10Over 4.5league %110/10

7/10Both scoreleague %614/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

Virtus Entella: 10 games · Avellino: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.72.6

9/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

7/10Over 1.5league %808/10

5/10Over 2.5league %525/10

3/10Over 3.5league %242/10

1/10Over 4.5league %111/10

7/10Both scoreleague %616/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%36 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Virtus Entella win 239, 364 end level and Avellino win 397. The actual result comes up 364 times in 1000.

%29 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

0.61 – 0.88 The score the chances deserved (xG): Virtus Entella 0.61 – 0.88 Avellino.

7.8

Man of the match: E. Adamo (Avellino), rated 7.8.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Virtus Entella · Serie B

Avellino · Serie B

Virtus Entella · All games

Avellino · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Virtus Entella's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match