The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Fatih Karagümrük win.
%52Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed
Other scenarios
Both score%53
Over 2.5%52
Under 2.5%48
Not both score%47
Draw%26
Pendikspor win%23
Why?
Fatih Karagümrük won 4 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Fatih KaragümrükD0-0W2-0L1-2L0-1D1-1
PendiksporD2-2L0-2L1-2L1-4D1-1
Last 12 meetings
6Fatih Karagümrük won
2Draw
4Pendikspor won
2.3 Goals per game3/12 Over 2.54/12 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Fatih Karagümrük · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Pendikspor · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).4/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Fatih Karagümrük · last 9 at home3.0 corners, 1.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/9Over 4.5 corners2/9Over 5.5 corners
Referee
Burak Demirkiran5.3 cards a match in 8 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Fatih Karagümrük · 1. Lig
3W 4D 3LScored 14 · conceded 122.5 Üst 3/10KG 7/10
Pendikspor · 1. Lig
2W 4D 4LScored 11 · conceded 172.5 Üst 4/10KG 7/10
Fatih Karagümrük · All games
2W 5D 3LScored 12 · conceded 112.5 Üst 2/10KG 6/10
Pendikspor · All games
2W 4D 4LScored 11 · conceded 172.5 Üst 4/10KG 7/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Fatih Karagümrük · 4-2-3-1
1M. Silvestri
4D. Biraschi
21Candan Baskale
25M. Sarıkaya
28A. Çınar
5E. Akbaba
19Y. Onogo
20M. Siopis
26Traore Ahmed
9C. Tosun
Bench
B. Şen, Muhammed Kadioglu, Ç. Kurukalıp, R. Yalçın, D. Toköz, Marius Tresor Doh, R. Civelek, B. Ersoy, Baris Kalayci, T. Çukur
Pendikspor · 4-1-4-1
78E. Dadük
4A. Özkaya
6
This fixture at Fatih Karagümrük's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 6
4Fatih Karagümrük won
1Draw
1Pendikspor won
Fatih Karagümrük last won here on Feb 10, 2024: Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 Pendikspor.Pendikspor last won here on Jan 4, 2025: Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 Pendikspor.2.7 goals a game here · over 2.5 2/6 · BTTS 2/6
Last 12 meetings
6Fatih Karagümrük won
2Draw
4Pendikspor won
2.3 Goals per game3/12 Over 2.54/12 Both score
Previous meetings
Pendikspor – Fatih KaragümrükMay 4, 2025 · 1. Lig2-0
Fatih Karagümrük – PendiksporJanuary 4, 2025 · 1. Lig0-2
Fatih Karagümrük – PendiksporFebruary 10, 2024 · Süper Lig2-0
Pendikspor – Fatih KaragümrükSeptember 23, 2023 · Süper Lig
2/9
Over 0.5 cards6/9
Over 1.5 cards4/9
Pendikspor · last 10 away5.0 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards7/10
Fatih Karagümrük: 10 games · Pendikspor: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.2Goals scored (avg)0.8
1.0Goals conceded (avg)2.1
2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.82.9
9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10
8/10Over 1.5league %8210/10
5/10Over 2.5league %513/10
0/10Over 3.5league %283/10
0/10Over 4.5league %153/10
8/10Both scoreleague %556/10
2/10Clean sheets0/10
1/10Failed to score4/10
Fatih Karagümrük: 10 games · Pendikspor: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.2Goals scored (avg)1.1
1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.7
2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.82.8
9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10
8/10Over 1.5league %829/10
2/10Over 2.5league %514/10
1/10Over 3.5league %283/10
1/10Over 4.5league %152/10
6/10Both scoreleague %557/10
3/10Clean sheets1/10
2/10Failed to score2/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
6 Pendikspor: a 6-match wait for a win is over.
%27 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Fatih Karagümrük win 468, 262 end level and Pendikspor win 270. The actual result comes up 270 times in 1000.
%23 Our model's pre-match chance of an Pendikspor win.
1.47 – 1.05 The score the chances deserved (xG): Fatih Karagümrük 1.47 – 1.05 Pendikspor.