Mardin 1969 – Fatih Karagümrük: probabilities, statistics and live score

Mardin 1969Lig A · #5

1-0Thursday, October 15

Fatih KaragümrükLig A · #10

Match events

Mardin 1969Fatih Karagümrük

10'⚽Zdravko DimitrovAssist: Olarenwaju Kayode
18'Adem Eren Kabak
31'⇄Eray KorkmazOff: Kerim Alıcı
38'Tonio Teklić
55'⇄Şahverdi ÇetinOff: Tonio Teklić
55'⇄Emre TaşdemirOff: Mallik Wilks
65'

Chances to win

Mardin 1969%46

Draw%27

Fatih Karagümrük%26

At a glance

Over 1.5

%48Over 2.5

%53Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Mardin 1969W2-1L0-1L0-1W1-0D2-2

Fatih KaragümrükD1-1W2-0D1-1L3-4D

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Mardin 1969 · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Fatih Karagümrük · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Mardin 1969 · last 4 at home5.0 corners, 3.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/4Over 4.5 corners3/4Over 5.5 corners2/4Over 0.5 cards4/4Over 1.5 cards3/4

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%52Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%53

Over 2.5%48

Not both score%47

Mardin 1969 win%46

Draw%27

Fatih Karagümrük win%26

Why?

Mardin 1969 · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10

Fatih Karagümrük · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10

Mardin 1969: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
Fatih Karagümrük: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.
Mardin 1969 scored 1.2 and conceded 0.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Fatih Karagümrük scored 1.0 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Mardin 1969: 10 games · Fatih Karagümrük: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)0.9

0.5Goals conceded (avg)1.2

1.6Total goals per gameleague 2.82.1

8/10Over 0.5league %949/10

5/10Over 1.5league %816/10

3/10Over 2.5league %512/10

0/10Over 3.5league %271/10

0/10Over 4.5league %141/10

4/10Both scoreleague %542/10

5/10Clean sheets4/10

3/10Failed to score5/10

Mardin 1969: 10 games · Fatih Karagümrük: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.82.2

10/10Over 0.5league %949/10

6/10Over 1.5league %817/10

5/10Over 2.5league %512/10

2/10Over 3.5league %271/10

1/10Over 4.5league %141/10

5/10Both scoreleague %545/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%24 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Mardin 1969 win 241, 311 end level and Fatih Karagümrük win 448. The actual result comes up 241 times in 1000.

6 – 14 Shots: Mardin 1969 6 – 14 Fatih Karagümrük.

32 – 68 Possession (%): Mardin 1969 32 – 68 Fatih Karagümrük.

0.75 – 1.14 The score the chances deserved (xG): Mardin 1969 0.75 – 1.14 Fatih Karagümrük.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Mardin 1969 · 1. Lig

Fatih Karagümrük · 1. Lig

Mardin 1969 · All games

Fatih Karagümrük · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match