The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.
%52Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Fatih Karagümrük win%51
Both score%51
Not both score%49
Over 2.5%48
Draw%26
Muğlaspor win%22
Why?
Fatih Karagümrük: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Fatih KaragümrükW2-0D1-1L3-4D1-1D1-1
MuğlasporD2-2D1-1D2-2W1-0W2-0
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Fatih Karagümrük · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.
Muğlaspor · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Fatih Karagümrük · last 10 at home2.8 corners, 0.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners
Referee
Ali Yilmaz5.4 cards a match in 14 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Fatih Karagümrük · 1. Lig
4W 4D 2LScored 15 · conceded 132.5 Üst 4/10KG 8/10
Muğlaspor · 1. Lig
2W 5D 1LScored 8 · conceded 72.5 Üst 2/8KG 3/8
Fatih Karagümrük · All games
5W 3D 2LScored 15 · conceded 122.5 Üst 4/10KG 7/10
Muğlaspor · All games
2W 7D 1LScored 9 · conceded 82.5 Üst 2/10KG 4/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Fatih Karagümrük · 4-2-3-1
1M. Silvestri
4D. Biraschi
25M. Sarıkaya
28A. Çınar
33Ç. Kurukalıp
5E. Akbaba
19Y. Onogo
20M. Siopis
22R. Civelek
26Traore Ahmed
9C. Tosun
Bench
B. Şen, A. Nukan, Muhammed Kadioglu, R. Yalçın, Marius Tresor Doh, Candan Baskale, Baris Kalayci, T. Çukur, Tarık Buğra Kalpaklı
Muğlaspor · 4-4-2
17E. Kılıçarslan
5
Previous meetings
The two teams have not met before.
2/10
Over 0.5 cards7/10
Over 1.5 cards2/10
Muğlaspor · last 4 away4.0 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners1/4Over 4.5 corners1/4Over 5.5 corners1/4Over 0.5 cards4/4Over 1.5 cards3/4
Fatih Karagümrük · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10
Muğlaspor · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10
Fatih Karagümrük: 10 games · Muğlaspor: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.2Goals scored (avg)1.5
1.0Goals conceded (avg)0.8
2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.82.3
9/10Over 0.5league %949/10
8/10Over 1.5league %826/10
5/10Over 2.5league %513/10
0/10Over 3.5league %282/10
0/10Over 4.5league %151/10
8/10Both scoreleague %553/10
2/10Clean sheets5/10
1/10Failed to score3/10
Fatih Karagümrük: 10 games · Muğlaspor: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.2Goals scored (avg)1.8
1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.2
2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.83.0
9/10Over 0.5league %949/10
8/10Over 1.5league %828/10
2/10Over 2.5league %515/10
1/10Over 3.5league %284/10
1/10Over 4.5league %152/10
6/10Both scoreleague %555/10
3/10Clean sheets4/10
2/10Failed to score2/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
%22 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Fatih Karagümrük win 152, 222 end level and Muğlaspor win 626. The actual result comes up 222 times in 1000.
%27 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.
0.77 – 1.83 The score the chances deserved (xG): Fatih Karagümrük 0.77 – 1.83 Muğlaspor.
2 – 10 Corners: Fatih Karagümrük 2 – 10 Muğlaspor.
Fatih KaragümrükLig A · #10
MuğlasporLig A · #7