Fatih Karagümrük – Keçiörengücü: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·1. Lig · Türkiye · Matchday 11

Fatih KaragümrükLig A · #10

1-2Monday, October 19

KeçiörengücüLig A · #6

Match events

Fatih KaragümrükKeçiörengücü

18'Ahmed Traore
24'Candan Baskale
34'Wellington Ferreira Nascimento
45'⚽Mame Biram DioufAssist: E. Develi
45'⇄Marius Tresor DohOff: Manolis Siopis
45'⇄JeffersonOff: Alcídio Raice

Chances to win

Fatih Karagümrük%38

Draw%27

Keçiörengücü%35

At a glance

Over 1.5

%53Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%53

Under 2.5%47

Not both score%43

Fatih Karagümrük win%38

Keçiörengücü win%35

Draw%27

Why?

Fatih Karagümrük: both sides scored in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Fatih KaragümrükL0-1D1-1W2-0D1-1L3-4

KeçiörengücüD0-0W2-0D1-1D1-1W3-0

Last 2 meetings

2Fatih Karagümrük won

0Draw

0Keçiörengücü won

1.0
Goals per game0/2
Over 2.50/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Fatih Karagümrük · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Keçiörengücü · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Fatih Karagümrük · last 10 at home2.5 corners, 1.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners

Keçiörengücü · last 10 away3.6 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

E. Satılmış, O. Çalışkan, D. Aksu, Jefferson, Oğuzhan Ayaydın, Enes Yilmaz, H. Ayan, Ö. Demirel, Herculano Nabian, M. Fofana

63'⇄Moryke FofanaOff: Francis Ezeh

63'⇄Herculano·NabianOff: Odise Roshi

65'⚽Mame Biram DioufAssist: Moryke Fofana

66'⇄Dorukhan ToközOff: Yaya Onogo

66'⇄Ramazan CivelekOff: J. Esen

66'⇄Aleksandar PešićOff: Cenk Tosun

77'⚽Ramazan Civelek

85'⇄Oguzhan AyaydinOff: E. Develi

90+4'⇄Tuncer Duhan AksuOff: Süleyman Lus

Statistics

66%Possession34%

2.11Expected goals1.7

23Total shots13

6Shots on target4

4Corners1

14Fouls16

3Offsides3

3Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

2Saves5

Keçiörengücü: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Fatih Karagümrük scored 1.5 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Keçiörengücü scored 1.5 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Fatih Karagümrük · last 10 at home: both scored 8 times8/10

Keçiörengücü · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

Fatih Karagümrük: 10 games · Keçiörengücü: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.7

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.83.0

9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

8/10Over 1.5league %828/10

5/10Over 2.5league %514/10

0/10Over 3.5league %283/10

0/10Over 4.5league %153/10

8/10Both scoreleague %556/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

Fatih Karagümrük: 10 games · Keçiörengücü: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.7

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.82.9

9/10Over 0.5league %949/10

8/10Over 1.5league %829/10

2/10Over 2.5league %515/10

1/10Over 3.5league %283/10

1/10Over 4.5league %152/10

6/10Both scoreleague %556/10

3/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%32 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Fatih Karagümrük win 476, 209 end level and Keçiörengücü win 315. The actual result comes up 315 times in 1000.

66 – 34 Possession (%): Fatih Karagümrük 66 – 34 Keçiörengücü.

%35 Our model's pre-match chance of an Keçiörengücü win.

2.11 – 1.70 The score the chances deserved (xG): Fatih Karagümrük 2.11 – 1.70 Keçiörengücü.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Fatih Karagümrük · 1. Lig

Keçiörengücü · 1. Lig

Fatih Karagümrük · All games

Keçiörengücü · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match