Beşiktaş – Başakşehir: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Süper Lig · Türkiye · Matchday 9

BeşiktaşSüper Lig · #4

2-0Monday, October 26

BaşakşehirSüper Lig · #12

Match events

BeşiktaşBaşakşehir

37'O. Ba
46'⇄H. GurelerOff: O. Ba
46'⇄J. KaluzinskiOff: U. Bozok
56'⇄E. PokuOff: V. Cerny
59'M. Karbownik
60'⇄I. BrnicOff: Y. Sari

Chances to win

Beşiktaş%68

Draw%19

Başakşehir%14

At a glance

Over 1.5

%66Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Beşiktaş win.

%68Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%66

Both score%57

Not both score%43

Under 2.5%34

Draw%19

Başakşehir win%14

Why?

Beşiktaş won 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

BeşiktaşD2-2L0-2W3-2W2-1L2-3

BaşakşehirW2-1D0-0W4-0L0-5L2-3

Last 15 meetings

7Beşiktaş won

4Draw

4Başakşehir won

2.7
Goals per game7/15
Over 2.58/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Beşiktaş · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).8/10games led at half-time.Won 7 of the 8 games it led at half-time.

Başakşehir · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Beşiktaş · last 8 at home6.9 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/8Over 4.5 corners5/8Over 5.5 corners5/8Over 0.5 cards

Başakşehir · last 10 away4.2 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

Doğan Alemdar, Kassoum Ouattara, Taylan Bulut, Tiago Djaló, Yasin Özcan, Kartal Kayra Yılmaz, Hyeon-gyu Oh, Ernest Poku, İlhan Fakılı, Semih Kılıçsoy

Başakşehir · 4-2-3-1

16Muhammed Şengezer

23Emin Bayram

27Ousseynou Ba

33Michał Karbownik

38Saba Kharebashvili

7Yusuf Sarı

8Olivier Kemen

14Eldor Shomurodov

20Umut Güneş

70Andreas Skov Olsen

17Umut Bozok

Bench

Deniz Dilmen, Onur Bulut, Hamza Güreler, Edin Višća, Abbosbek Fayzullaev, Jakub Kałuziński, Ömer Ali Şahiner, Davie Selke, Ivan Brnić, Bertuğ Yıldırım

Başakşehir – BeşiktaşApril 4, 2024 · Süper Lig1-1

Beşiktaş – BaşakşehirNovember 12, 2023 · Süper Lig1-0

Başakşehir – BeşiktaşMarch 12, 2023 · Süper Lig0-2

Beşiktaş – BaşakşehirSeptember 12, 2022 · Süper Lig0-1

Beşiktaş – BaşakşehirMarch 7, 2022 · Süper Lig2-2

Başakşehir – BeşiktaşOctober 15, 2021 · Süper Lig3-2

Beşiktaş – BaşakşehirJuly 27, 2021 · Friendlies Clubs1-0

Beşiktaş – BaşakşehirMarch 16, 2021 · Türkiye Kupası2-2

Başakşehir – BeşiktaşMarch 12, 2021 · Süper Lig2-3

Beşiktaş – BaşakşehirNovember 21, 2020 · Süper Lig3-2

Başakşehir – BeşiktaşFebruary 14, 2020 · Süper Lig1-0

65'⇄Oh Hyeon-GyuOff: W. Ndidi

75'⇄B. YildirimOff: E. Shomurodov

78'⇄D. SelkeOff: U. Gunes

Statistics

65%Possession35%

1.73Expected goals0.31

17Total shots9

6Shots on target4

5Corners2

8Fouls17

7Offsides2

1Yellow cards2

4Saves4

87%Pass accuracy71%

Beşiktaş scored 2.4 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Başakşehir scored 0.7 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Beşiktaş · last 10 at home: 8 wins8/10

Başakşehir · last 10 away: 5 defeats5/10

Beşiktaş: 10 games · Başakşehir: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.5Goals scored (avg)0.5

0.6Goals conceded (avg)1.9

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.92.4

10/10Over 0.5league %958/10

7/10Over 1.5league %778/10

6/10Over 2.5league %595/10

3/10Over 3.5league %312/10

2/10Over 4.5league %161/10

4/10Both scoreleague %454/10

6/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score6/10

Beşiktaş: 10 games · Başakşehir: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.6Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.6

4.0Total goals per gameleague 2.92.8

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

10/10Over 1.5league %779/10

8/10Over 2.5league %595/10

5/10Over 3.5league %313/10

4/10Over 4.5league %162/10

7/10Both scoreleague %454/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%73 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Beşiktaş win 730, 210 end level and Başakşehir win 60. The actual result comes up 730 times in 1000.

1.73 – 0.31 The score the chances deserved (xG): Beşiktaş 1.73 – 0.31 Başakşehir.

65 – 35 Possession (%): Beşiktaş 65 – 35 Başakşehir.

7.9

Man of the match: Hyeon-gyu Oh (Beşiktaş), rated 7.9.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Beşiktaş · Süper Lig

Başakşehir · Süper Lig

Beşiktaş · All games

Başakşehir · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Beşiktaş's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match