Başakşehir – Gaziantep FK: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Süper Lig · Türkiye · Matchday 8

BaşakşehirSüper Lig · #12

2-1Sunday, October 18

Gaziantep FKSüper Lig · #14

Match events

BaşakşehirGaziantep FK

8'⚽E. Shomurodov
30'VARI. BrnicGoal Disallowed - offside
36'O. Ak
45+3'S. Kharebashvili
46'⇄O. SahinerOff: S. Kharebashvili
46'⇄K. CalhanogluOff: A. Sylla
46'

Chances to win

Başakşehir%57

Draw%22

Gaziantep FK%21

At a glance

Over 1.5

%63Over 2.5

%61Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%61

Başakşehir win%57

Not both score%39

Under 2.5%37

Draw%22

Gaziantep FK win%21

Why?

Başakşehir: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

BaşakşehirD0-0W4-0L0-5L2-3D1-1

Gaziantep FKL0-3L0-2D0-0W4-2L1-2

Last 8 meetings

6Başakşehir won

1Draw

1Gaziantep FK won

3.0
Goals per game5/8
Over 2.54/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Başakşehir · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Gaziantep FK · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Başakşehir · last 10 at home4.7 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Gaziantep FK · last 10 away3.7 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards9/10

Bench

Deniz Dilmen, Hamza Güreler, Onur Ergün, Edin Višća, Abbosbek Fayzullaev, Berkay Özcan, Umut Güneş, Ömer Ali Şahiner, Yusuf Sarı, Bertuğ Yıldırım

Gaziantep FK · 4-1-4-1

25Kacper Tobiasz

2Luis Pérez

4Arda Kızıldağ

14Myenty Abena

21Abakar Sylla

3Drissa Camara

8Gidado Victor Ntino-Emo

10Kacper Kozłowski

18Deian Sorescu

61Ogün Özçiçek

9Trivante Stewart

Bench

Ataberk Dadakdeniz, Efe Sarıkaya, Kerim Çalhanoğlu, Sabahattin Destici, Juninho Bacuna, Karamba Gassama, Alexandru Maxim, Serdar Dursun, Sontje Hansen, Halil Dervişoğlu

Gaziantep FK – BaşakşehirFebruary 24, 2024 · Süper Lig0-2

Başakşehir – Gaziantep FKOctober 7, 2023 · Süper Lig2-0

Başakşehir – Gaziantep FKMay 30, 2023 · Süper Lig3-0

Gaziantep FK – BaşakşehirJanuary 5, 2023 · Süper Lig1-1

A. MaximOff: V. Gidado

57'⇄U. GunesOff: J. Kaluzinski

57'⇄Y. SariOff: A. Skov Olsen

57'⇄S. DursunOff: T. Stewart

64'⇄K. GassamaOff: D. Camara

66'⚽S. DursunAssist: K. Kozlowski

72'⇄E. ViscaOff: I. Brnic

72'⇄B. YildirimOff: U. Bozok

81'⚽U. GunesAssist: E. Shomurodov

85'⇄S. DesticiOff: L. Perez

Statistics

50%Possession50%

2.03Expected goals1.13

14Total shots12

6Shots on target4

4Corners5

28Fouls15

0Offsides3

4Yellow cards4

3Saves4

88%Pass accuracy86%

Gaziantep FK: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Başakşehir scored 2.2 and conceded 0.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Gaziantep FK scored 1.2 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Başakşehir · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Gaziantep FK · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Başakşehir: 10 games · Gaziantep FK: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.2Goals scored (avg)1.7

0.6Goals conceded (avg)1.8

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.93.5

9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

9/10Over 1.5league %779/10

6/10Over 2.5league %598/10

3/10Over 3.5league %314/10

1/10Over 4.5league %163/10

4/10Both scoreleague %456/10

6/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

Başakşehir: 10 games · Gaziantep FK: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.92.8

9/10Over 0.5league %959/10

9/10Over 1.5league %778/10

5/10Over 2.5league %596/10

3/10Over 3.5league %313/10

2/10Over 4.5league %161/10

4/10Both scoreleague %455/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

4/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%56 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Başakşehir win 556, 224 end level and Gaziantep FK win 221. The actual result comes up 556 times in 1000.

1.89 – 1.11 The score the chances deserved (xG): Başakşehir 1.89 – 1.11 Gaziantep FK.

7.9

Man of the match: Andreas Skov Olsen (Başakşehir), rated 7.9.

%57 Our model's pre-match chance of a Başakşehir win.

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Başakşehir · Süper Lig

Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig

Başakşehir · All games

Gaziantep FK · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Başakşehir's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match