Konyaspor – Başakşehir: probabilities, statistics and live score

KonyasporSüper Lig · #15

0-0Sunday, October 11

BaşakşehirSüper Lig · #12

Match events

KonyasporBaşakşehir

23'⇄C. AwaziemOff: A. Demirbag
56'⇄H. GurelerOff: E. Bayram
63'⇄Y. SariOff: A. Skov Olsen
63'⇄O. SahinerOff: S. Kharebashvili
74'⇄E. BardhiOff: R. Toth
80'⇄A. FayzullaevOff: B. Yildirim

Chances to win

Konyaspor%39

Draw%27

Başakşehir%34

At a glance

Over 1.5

%54Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

KonyasporD0-0W1-0L0-1L1-2L2-4

BaşakşehirW4-0L0-5L2-3D1-1L

Last 8 meetings

3Konyaspor won

1Draw

4Başakşehir won

2.4
Goals per game3/8
Over 2.53/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Konyaspor · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Başakşehir · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Konyaspor · last 10 at home3.9 corners, 2.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

Başakşehir · 4-2-3-1

16Muhammed Şengezer

23Emin Bayram

27Ousseynou Ba

33Michał Karbownik

38Saba Kharebashvili

8Olivier Kemen

14Eldor Shomurodov

20Umut Güneş

70Andreas Skov Olsen

77Ivan Brnić

91Bertuğ Yıldırım

Bench

Deniz Dilmen, Onur Bulut, Hamza Güreler, Onur Ergün, Abbosbek Fayzullaev, Jakub Kałuziński, Berkay Özcan, Ömer Ali Şahiner, Yusuf Sarı, Umut Bozok

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%54

Under 2.5%46

Not both score%41

Konyaspor win%39

Başakşehir win%34

Draw%27

Why?

Başakşehir · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

Konyaspor: both sides scored in 3 of their last 10 home matches.
Başakşehir: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
Konyaspor scored 1.1 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Başakşehir scored 0.9 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Konyaspor: 10 games · Başakşehir: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)0.5

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.9

2.0Total goals per gameleague 2.92.4

8/10Over 0.5league %948/10

6/10Over 1.5league %778/10

5/10Over 2.5league %595/10

1/10Over 3.5league %312/10

0/10Over 4.5league %151/10

2/10Both scoreleague %464/10

5/10Clean sheets2/10

5/10Failed to score6/10

Konyaspor: 10 games · Başakşehir: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.6Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.6

1.9Total goals per gameleague 2.92.8

8/10Over 0.5league %949/10

4/10Over 1.5league %779/10

3/10Over 2.5league %595/10

2/10Over 3.5league %313/10

1/10Over 4.5league %152/10

2/10Both scoreleague %464/10

4/10Clean sheets3/10

6/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%46 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Konyaspor win 176, 455 end level and Başakşehir win 370. The actual result comes up 455 times in 1000.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

0.36 – 0.65 The score the chances deserved (xG): Konyaspor 0.36 – 0.65 Başakşehir.

7.2

Man of the match: Deniz Türüç (Konyaspor), rated 7.2.

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Konyaspor's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Konyaspor · Süper Lig

Başakşehir · Süper Lig

Konyaspor · All games

Başakşehir · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match