Trabzonspor – Beşiktaş: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Süper Lig · Türkiye · Matchday 8

TrabzonsporSüper Lig · #3

2-0Monday, October 19

BeşiktaşSüper Lig · #4

Match events

TrabzonsporBeşiktaş

21'⚽O. Tufan
32'Fabio Miretti
33'Fabinho
60'Emirhan Topçu
63'⇄T. Jabol-FolcarelliOff: O. Tufan
71'⚽M. SalahAssist: Franculino
77'

Chances to win

Trabzonspor%37

Draw%25

Beşiktaş%38

At a glance

Over 1.5

%61Over 2.5

%64Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

TrabzonsporW4-2W3-0W4-0L0-1W5-0

BeşiktaşW3-2W2-1L2-3W4-1W

Last 9 meetings

2Trabzonspor won

4Draw

3Beşiktaş won

3.1
Goals per game6/9
Over 2.56/9
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Trabzonspor · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Beşiktaş · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Trabzonspor · last 9 at home4.9 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners6/9Over 5.5 corners3/9Over 0.5 cards

Beşiktaş · last 9 away5.7 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners7/9Over 5.5 corners4/9Over 0.5 cards7/9Over 1.5 cards5/9

55Sidny Lopes Cabral

Bench

Ahmet Doğan Yıldırım, Erol Can Çolak, Samet Akaydın, Cenk Özkaçar, Mustafa Kuzey Akcay, Tim Jabol-Folcarelli, Umut Nayir, Noah Saviolo, Metehan Mimaroğlu, Ali Habeşoğlu

Beşiktaş · 4-1-4-1

1Alexander Nübel

12Emmanuel Agbadou

33Rıdvan Yılmaz

53Emirhan Topçu

62Amir Murillo

6Salih Özcan

15Junior Olaitan

18Václav Černý

19Leandro Trossard

21Fabio Miretti

28Dušan Vlahović

Bench

Doğan Alemdar, Kassoum Ouattara, Taylan Bulut, Tiago Djaló, Ümit Akdağ, Wilfred Ndidi, Kartal Kayra Yılmaz, Hyeon-gyu Oh, Ernest Poku, İlhan Fakılı

Beşiktaş – TrabzonsporMay 23, 2024 · Türkiye Kupası3-2

Beşiktaş – TrabzonsporFebruary 4, 2024 · Süper Lig2-0

Trabzonspor – BeşiktaşSeptember 17, 2023 · Süper Lig3-0

Trabzonspor – BeşiktaşApril 16, 2023 · Süper Lig0-0

Beşiktaş – TrabzonsporOctober 16, 2022 · Süper Lig2-2

K. OuattaraOff: F. Miretti

77'⇄Oh Hyeon-GyuOff: V. Cerny

77'⇄I. FakiliOff: R. Yilmaz

81'⇄N. SavioloOff: A. Simsir

85'⇄W. NdidiOff: J. Olaitan

88'⇄U. NayirOff: Franculino

89'⇄C. OzkacarOff: E. Muci

90'⇄K. Kayra YilmazOff: S. Ozcan

Statistics

38%Possession62%

2.35Expected goals1.19

13Total shots19

8Shots on target7

4Corners6

11Fouls17

2Offsides5

1Yellow cards4

7Saves6

76%Pass accuracy86%

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%61Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%64

Under 2.5%39

Beşiktaş win%38

Trabzonspor win%37

Not both score%36

Draw%25

Why?

Trabzonspor · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Beşiktaş · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Trabzonspor: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Beşiktaş: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.
Trabzonspor scored 1.8 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Beşiktaş scored 1.5 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Trabzonspor: 10 games · Beşiktaş: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)1.4

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.7Total goals per gameleague 2.92.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

9/10Over 1.5league %777/10

5/10Over 2.5league %594/10

2/10Over 3.5league %313/10

1/10Over 4.5league %152/10

4/10Both scoreleague %464/10

4/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

Trabzonspor: 10 games · Beşiktaş: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.5Goals scored (avg)2.6

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.7Total goals per gameleague 2.94.0

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

9/10Over 1.5league %7710/10

7/10Over 2.5league %598/10

5/10Over 3.5league %315/10

3/10Over 4.5league %154/10

3/10Both scoreleague %467/10

5/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Trabzonspor: win number 4 in a row.

%66 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Trabzonspor win 656, 184 end level and Beşiktaş win 160. The actual result comes up 656 times in 1000.

2.35 – 1.08 The score the chances deserved (xG): Trabzonspor 2.35 – 1.08 Beşiktaş.

7.9

Man of the match: André Onana (Trabzonspor), rated 7.9.

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Corners
Cards
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When they concede

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Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 9 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Trabzonspor's ground

Last 9 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Trabzonspor · Süper Lig

Beşiktaş · Süper Lig

Trabzonspor · All games

Beşiktaş · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match