Samsunspor – Trabzonspor: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Süper Lig · Türkiye · Matchday 7

SamsunsporSüper Lig · #17

0-3Saturday, October 10

TrabzonsporSüper Lig · #3

Match events

SamsunsporTrabzonspor

7'L. Tomasson
27'⇄Y. KayanOff: C. Yuksel
28'⚽E. MuciAssist: M. Eskihellac
39'⚽C. Nwaiwu
40'⚽FranculinoAssist: M. Salah
41'T. Fink
43'

Chances to win

Samsunspor%29

Draw%26

Trabzonspor%45

At a glance

Over 1.5

%55Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%57

Trabzonspor win%45

Under 2.5%45

Not both score%43

Samsunspor win%29

Draw%26

Why?

Samsunspor: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

SamsunsporL0-1L1-5L0-1L0-2W2-0

TrabzonsporW4-0L0-1W5-0L1-2L0-4

Last 8 meetings

2Samsunspor won

3Draw

3Trabzonspor won

2.8
Goals per game6/8
Over 2.55/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Samsunspor · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Trabzonspor · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Samsunspor · last 10 at home3.9 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners

Trabzonspor · last 10 away5.7 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

Bilal Bayazit, Igor Drapiński, Strahinja Eraković, Haluk Mustafa Tan, Samed Onur, Yalçın Kayan, Afonso Sousa, Elayis Tavsan, Fatih Kaya, Oskar Øhlenschlaeger

Trabzonspor · 4-2-3-1

24André Onana

15Stefan Savić

19Mustafa Eskihellaç

20Wagner Pina

27Chibuike Nwaiwu

6Fabinho

7Ernest Muçi

10Mohamed Salah

57Melih Kabasakal

58Aral Şimşir

9Franculino Djú

Bench

Ahmet Doğan Yıldırım, Samet Akaydın, Cenk Özkaçar, Sidny Lopes Cabral, Ozan Tufan, Tim Jabol-Folcarelli, Paul Onuachu, Cihan Çanak, Noah Saviolo, Metehan Mimaroğlu

Samsunspor – TrabzonsporJanuary 4, 2025 · Süper Lig2-1

Samsunspor – TrabzonsporMay 4, 2024 · Süper Lig3-1

Trabzonspor – SamsunsporJanuary 11, 2024 · Süper Lig2-1

Trabzonspor – SamsunsporDecember 21, 2022 · Türkiye Kupası3-0

46'⇄F. KayaOff: A. Sekongo

46'⇄O. TufanOff: E. Muci

66'⇄O. OhlenschlaegerOff: E. Watt

66'⇄E. TavsanOff: T. Coulibaly

71'⇄S. Lopes CabralOff: M. Eskihellac

71'⇄C. OzkacarOff: Franculino

77'⇄P. OnuachuOff: M. Salah

79'⇄A. SousaOff: J. Mendes

84'⇄T. Jabol-FolcarelliOff: A. Simsir

Statistics

52%Possession48%

1.04Expected goals1.64

15Total shots11

5Shots on target6

5Corners4

18Fouls4

0Offsides1

2Yellow cards0

0Red cards1

3Saves5

82%Pass accuracy80%

Trabzonspor: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Samsunspor scored 1.8 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Trabzonspor scored 0.9 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Samsunspor · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Trabzonspor · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Samsunspor: 10 games · Trabzonspor: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.5Total goals per gameleague 2.93.5

9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

9/10Over 1.5league %779/10

8/10Over 2.5league %598/10

4/10Over 3.5league %313/10

3/10Over 4.5league %162/10

6/10Both scoreleague %457/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

Samsunspor: 10 games · Trabzonspor: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)2.5

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.2

3.2Total goals per gameleague 2.93.7

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %779/10

6/10Over 2.5league %597/10

3/10Over 3.5league %315/10

3/10Over 4.5league %163/10

4/10Both scoreleague %453/10

2/10Clean sheets5/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.04 – 1.64 The score the chances deserved (xG): Samsunspor 1.04 – 1.64 Trabzonspor.

%51 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Samsunspor win 240, 246 end level and Trabzonspor win 514. The actual result comes up 514 times in 1000.

8.2

Man of the match: Mustafa Eskihellaç (Trabzonspor), rated 8.2.

%45 Our model's pre-match chance of an Trabzonspor win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Samsunspor · Süper Lig

Trabzonspor · Süper Lig

Samsunspor · All games

Trabzonspor · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Samsunspor's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match