KuPS – Trabzonspor: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·UEFA Europa Conference League · League phase · Matchday 1

KuPSVeikkausliiga · #1

2-4Thursday, October 15

TrabzonsporSüper Lig · #3

Match events

KuPSTrabzonspor

3'⚽P. OnuachuAssist: M. Salah
10'⇄FranculinoOff: P. Onuachu
21'J. Eskesen
24'S. Akaydin
34'P. Parzyszek
44'⚽M. Salah
47'

Chances to win

KuPS%19

Draw%23

Trabzonspor%58

At a glance

Over 1.5

%54Over 2.5

%52Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Trabzonspor win.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%54

Both score%52

Not both score%48

Under 2.5%46

Draw%23

KuPS win%19

Why?

Trabzonspor won 3 of their last 10 away matches.

Last 5 matches

KuPSL0-1L0-1W2-0D0-0D1-1

TrabzonsporW3-0W4-0L0-1W5-0L1-2

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

KuPS · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Trabzonspor · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

KuPS · last 7 at home5.4 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/7Over 4.5 corners4/7Over 5.5 corners4/7Over 0.5 cards

Trabzonspor · last 10 away5.6 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

8Benjamin Bouchouari

Bench

Ahmet Doğan Yıldırım, Erol Can Çolak, Fabinho, Ernest Muçi, Tim Jabol-Folcarelli, Yiğithan Çubukcu, Oğuzhan Ertem, Franculino Djú, Noah Saviolo

55'⇄T. Jabol-FolcarelliOff: O. Tufan

55'⇄FabinhoOff: B. Mendy

55'⇄N. SavioloOff: M. Salah

59'✕P. ParzyszekMissed penalty

63'⇄A. AikiOff: B. Armah

63'⇄T. JyryOff: P. Pennanen

63'⇄G. EngvallOff: J. Luyeye-Lutumba

76'⇄J. J. Moreno CiorciariOff: P. Parzyszek

77'⇄S. TourayOff: S. Pasanen

77'⇄E. MuciOff: A. Simsir

90+1'⚽FranculinoAssist: E. Muci

Statistics

42%Possession58%

1.58Expected goals2.3

13Total shots19

7Shots on target7

7Corners6

13Fouls11

3Yellow cards2

4Saves6

82%Pass accuracy86%

KuPS scored 1.2 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Trabzonspor scored 1.1 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

KuPS: 10 games · Trabzonspor: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.93.5

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

7/10Over 1.5league %779/10

2/10Over 2.5league %538/10

2/10Over 3.5league %343/10

2/10Over 4.5league %182/10

5/10Both scoreleague %537/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

KuPS: 10 games · Trabzonspor: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)2.5

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.93.7

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

7/10Over 1.5league %779/10

2/10Over 2.5league %537/10

2/10Over 3.5league %345/10

1/10Over 4.5league %183/10

4/10Both scoreleague %533/10

3/10Clean sheets5/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%54 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), KuPS win 262, 199 end level and Trabzonspor win 539. The actual result comes up 539 times in 1000.

1.58 – 2.30 The score the chances deserved (xG): KuPS 1.58 – 2.30 Trabzonspor.

9.2

Man of the match: Mohamed Salah (Trabzonspor), rated 9.2.

%58 Our model's pre-match chance of an Trabzonspor win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

KuPS · European games

Trabzonspor · European games

KuPS · All games

Trabzonspor · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match