The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Sporting CP win.
%77Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 8.Missed
Other scenarios
Over 2.5%68
Both score%51
Not both score%49
Under 2.5%32
Draw%14
Academico Viseu win%9
Why?
Sporting CP won 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Sporting CPL2-3W2-0W3-1D2-2D1-1
Academico ViseuL0-1W2-1W2-0W2-1W1-0
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Sporting CP · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 6 games it led at half-time.
Academico Viseu · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Sporting CP · last 10 at home6.4 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners
Referee
M. Nogueira4.3 cards a match in 26 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Sporting CP · Primeira Liga
7W 3D 0LScored 27 · conceded 102.5 Üst 8/10KG 7/10
Academico Viseu · Primeira Liga
4W 2D 2LScored 11 · conceded 102.5 Üst 5/8KG 4/8
Sporting CP · All games
7W 2D 1LScored 25 · conceded 112.5 Üst 7/10KG 7/10
Academico Viseu · All games
4W 3D 3LScored 11 · conceded 112.5 Üst 5/10KG 4/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Sporting CP · 4-2-3-1
30Kaique
20M. Araújo
22Iván Fresneda
25Gonçalo Inácio
55Ibrahima Ba
5Sergi Altimira
19N. Irankunda
31Luis Guilherme
58Flávio Gonçalves
77I. Doumbia
97L. Suárez
Bench
Rui Silva, G. Vagiannidis, M. Zekri, Eduardo Quaresma, S. Andersen, João Simões, Geny Catamo, Pedro Lima, Eduardo Felicíssimo, F. Ioannidis, Rafael Ferreira Nel, J. Derry
Sporting CP: 10 games · Academico Viseu: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
2.5Goals scored (avg)1.7
1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.0
3.8Total goals per gameleague 2.72.7
10/10Over 0.5league %959/10
10/10Over 1.5league %747/10
8/10Over 2.5league %555/10
6/10Over 3.5league %353/10
3/10Over 4.5league %101/10
8/10Both scoreleague %494/10
2/10Clean sheets5/10
0/10Failed to score2/10
Sporting CP: 10 games · Academico Viseu: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
2.2Goals scored (avg)1.3
1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.2
3.2Total goals per gameleague 2.72.5
10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10
10/10Over 1.5league %747/10
6/10Over 2.5league %556/10
5/10Over 3.5league %352/10
1/10Over 4.5league %100/10
6/10Both scoreleague %495/10
4/10Clean sheets2/10
0/10Failed to score3/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
%15 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Sporting CP win 652, 201 end level and Academico Viseu win 147. The actual result comes up 147 times in 1000.
%9 Our model's pre-match chance of an Academico Viseu win.
2.06 – 0.86 The score the chances deserved (xG): Sporting CP 2.06 – 0.86 Academico Viseu.
Sporting CPPrimeira Liga · #3
Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga · #6