Sporting CP – Lask Linz: probabilities, statistics and live score

Sporting CPPrimeira Liga · #3

2-3Wednesday, October 21

Lask LinzBundesliga · #3

Match events

Sporting CPLask Linz

5'⚽Luis SuárezPenalty
15'⚽Christoph LangAssist: Kasper Jorgensen
33'Christoph Lang
45'Sascha Horvath
52'⇄Tobias SchützenauerOff: Lukas Jungwirth
63'⚽Sasa KalajdzicAssist: Robert Ljubicic

Chances to win

Sporting CP%76

Draw%15

Lask Linz%9

At a glance

Over 1.5

%71Over 2.5

%55Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Sporting CPW2-0W3-1D2-2D1-1W3-1

Lask LinzW4-0L3-6L0-2D3-3L

Last 3 meetings

1Sporting CP won

0Draw

2Lask Linz won

3.7
Goals per game3/3
Over 2.52/3
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Sporting CP · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Lask Linz · last 10 away6/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Sporting CP · last 10 at home6.0 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Lask Linz · 5-4-1

1L. Jungwirth

4X. Mbuyamba

16A. Andrade

20K. Jørgensen

25Y. Dibango

43Alemão

9K. Daněk

10R. Ljubičić

27C. Lang

30S. Horvath

11S. Kalajdzic

Bench

T. Schützenauer, M. Freckleton, M. Bogarde, M. Verhaeghe, A. Schöpf, Daniel Elfadli, S. Adeniran, M. Usor, F. Flecker, N. Kane

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Sporting CP win.

%76Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 8.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%71

Both score%55

Not both score%45

Under 2.5%29

Draw%15

Lask Linz win%9

Why?

Sporting CP · last 10 at home: 6 wins6/10

Sporting CP won 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Sporting CP scored 2.5 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Lask Linz scored 2.9 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Sporting CP: 10 games · Lask Linz: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.5Goals scored (avg)2.9

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.8Total goals per gameleague 3.34.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

10/10Over 1.5league %839/10

8/10Over 2.5league %608/10

6/10Over 3.5league %426/10

3/10Over 4.5league %264/10

8/10Both scoreleague %575/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

Sporting CP: 10 games · Lask Linz: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.2Goals scored (avg)2.0

1.0Goals conceded (avg)2.3

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.34.3

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

10/10Over 1.5league %839/10

6/10Over 2.5league %608/10

5/10Over 3.5league %426/10

1/10Over 4.5league %264/10

6/10Both scoreleague %577/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Sporting CP: a 15-match unbeaten run ended here.

%10 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Sporting CP win 772, 127 end level and Lask Linz win 101. The actual result comes up 101 times in 1000.

3.18 – 1.14 The score the chances deserved (xG): Sporting CP 3.18 – 1.14 Lask Linz.

%9 Our model's pre-match chance of an Lask Linz win.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 3 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Sporting CP's ground

Last 3 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Sporting CP · European games

Lask Linz · European games

Sporting CP · All games

Lask Linz · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match