The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.
%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed
Other scenarios
Both score%52
Not both score%48
Over 2.5%46
Sporting CP win%41
SC Braga win%31
Draw%29
Why?
SC Braga: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
SC BragaD0-0W1-0L1-2W2-1W1-0
Sporting CPD2-2D1-1W3-1W2-0W4-0
Last 8 meetings
0SC Braga won
5Draw
3Sporting CP won
4.0 Goals per game5/8 Over 2.56/8 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
SC Braga · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
Sporting CP · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
SC Braga · last 9 at home5.1 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners6/9Over 5.5 corners3/9Over 0.5 cards
Referee
J. Pinheiro4.6 cards a match in 42 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
SC Braga · Primeira Liga
3W 5D 2LScored 13 · conceded 122.5 Üst 6/10KG 7/10
Sporting CP · Primeira Liga
7W 3D 0LScored 29 · conceded 102.5 Üst 8/10KG 7/10
SC Braga · All games
5W 4D 1LScored 10 · conceded 52.5 Üst 3/10KG 3/10
Sporting CP · All games
6W 4D 0LScored 24 · conceded 102.5 Üst 7/10KG 7/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
SC Braga · 3-4-2-1
31Bernardo Fontes
6Vitor Carvalho
22Sergio Barcia
44A. Bajrami
2Víctor Gómez
8João Moutinho
11Gabriel Silva
21Ricardo Horta
23D. Huseinbašić
29J. Gorby
10Pau Victor
Bench
João Carvalho, Diogo Travassos, G. Lagerbielke, B. Arrey-Mbi, Tomás Marqués, M. Dorgeles, E. Tıknaz, Diego Rodrigues, Fran Navarro, J. Milošević, J. Wind, Gabri Martínez
Sporting CP · 4-2-3-1
1Rui Silva
This fixture at SC Braga's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 4
0SC Braga won
3Draw
1Sporting CP won
SC Braga won none of the last 4 here.Sporting CP last won here on Nov 10, 2024: SC Braga 2-4 Sporting CP.4.5 goals a game here · over 2.5 3/4 · BTTS 4/4
Last 8 meetings
0SC Braga won
5Draw
3Sporting CP won
4.0 Goals per game5/8 Over 2.56/8 Both score
Previous meetings
SC Braga – Sporting CPMarch 7, 2026 · Primeira Liga2-2
Sporting CP – SC BragaOctober 5, 2025 · Primeira Liga1-1
Sporting CP – SC BragaApril 7, 2025 · Primeira Liga1-1
SC Braga – Sporting CPNovember 10, 2024 · Primeira Liga2-4
Kaique, Ibrahima Ba, João Simões, R. Zalazar, M. Araújo, Pedro Lima, Eduardo Felicíssimo, Rafael Ferreira Nel, J. Derry, Luis Guilherme, Flávio Gonçalves, L. Suárez
Sporting CP – SC BragaFebruary 11, 2024 · Primeira Liga5-0
SC Braga – Sporting CPSeptember 3, 2023 · Primeira Liga1-1
Sporting CP – SC BragaFebruary 2, 2023 · Primeira Liga5-0
SC Braga – Sporting CPAugust 7, 2022 · Primeira Liga3-3
67'⇄Gabriel Martínez AguileraOff: Gabriel Silva
71'⚽Bernardo Caltabiano Parise FontesOwn goal
74'⇄Tommy MarquésOff: João Moutinho
74'⇄Jonas WindOff: Pau Victor
79'⇄Flávio GonçalvesOff: Nestory Irankunda
82'⚽Rodrigo ZalazarAssist: Geny Catamo
84'⇄Fra NavarroOff: Adrian Bajrami
84'⇄João SimõesOff: Rodrigo Zalazar
89'Sergio Barcia
89'Flávio Gonçalves
Statistics
49%Possession51%
1.54Expected goals0.97
15Total shots9
4Shots on target3
5Corners2
11Fouls10
0Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves3
Sporting CP: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.
SC Braga scored 1.7 and conceded 0.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Sporting CP scored 1.7 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.
Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.