Sheffield Wednesday – Cambridge United: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·League One · England · Matchday 9

Sheffield WednesdayLeague One · #9

1-1Tuesday, October 27

Cambridge UnitedLeague One · #7

Match events

Sheffield WednesdayCambridge United

50'⚽Mason BurstowAssist: Callum Slattery
60'⇄Zak·BradshawOff: Callum Perry
60'⇄Shayne LaveryOff: Shane McLoughlin
60'⇄Sullay KaikaiOff: Isaac Heath
65'Reece James
67'⚽Sullay KaikaiAssist: Shayne Lavery

Chances to win

Sheffield Wednesday%44

Draw%26

Cambridge United%29

At a glance

Over 1.5

%54Over 2.5

%58Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%54

Under 2.5%46

Sheffield Wednesday win%44

Not both score%42

Cambridge United win%29

Draw%26

Why?

Sheffield Wednesday: both sides scored in 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Sheffield WednesdayL0-2L0-2W5-0D2-2W2-0

Cambridge UnitedL2-3D2-2W2-1W1-0W2-1

Last 5 meetings

3Sheffield Wednesday won

2Draw

0Cambridge United won

3.4
Goals per game2/5
Over 2.52/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Sheffield Wednesday · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Cambridge United · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Sheffield Wednesday · last 10 at home5.0 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Cambridge United · last 10 away6.3 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

G. Breeze, P. Bauer, Z. Bradshaw, O. Moxon, Raees Bangura-Williams, S. Kaikai, S. Lavery

October 19, 2021 · League One

Cambridge United – Sheffield WednesdayAugust 9, 2016 · League Cup1-1

74'⇄Kieran MorrisonOff: Harry Gray

74'⇄Owen MoxonOff: Louis Appere

82'⇄Liam PalmerOff: Yan Valery

82'⇄Ali Al-HamadiOff: Barry Bannan

82'⇄Raees Bangura-WilliamsOff: George Hoddle

90+5'⇄Sil swinkelsOff: Ernie Weaver

Statistics

64%Possession36%

1.73Expected goals1.67

19Total shots18

5Shots on target9

6Corners11

7Fouls8

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

5Saves5

Cambridge United: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Sheffield Wednesday scored 1.8 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Cambridge United scored 1.3 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Cambridge United · last 10 away: both scored 7 times7/10

Sheffield Wednesday: 10 games · Cambridge United: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.4

0.7Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.82.3

8/10Over 0.5league %928/10

6/10Over 1.5league %798/10

3/10Over 2.5league %544/10

2/10Over 3.5league %312/10

2/10Over 4.5league %151/10

3/10Both scoreleague %588/10

5/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

Sheffield Wednesday: 10 games · Cambridge United: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.8

0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.83.0

8/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

8/10Over 1.5league %799/10

4/10Over 2.5league %546/10

2/10Over 3.5league %313/10

1/10Over 4.5league %152/10

4/10Both scoreleague %589/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

4/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%23 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Sheffield Wednesday win 399, 226 end level and Cambridge United win 374. The actual result comes up 226 times in 1000.

%26 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

8.2

Man of the match: S. Kaikai (Cambridge United), rated 8.2.

1.73 – 1.67 The score the chances deserved (xG): Sheffield Wednesday 1.73 – 1.67 Cambridge United.

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Sheffield Wednesday · League One

Cambridge United · League One

Sheffield Wednesday · All games

Cambridge United · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Sheffield Wednesday's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match