Notts County – Sheffield Wednesday: probabilities, statistics and live score

Notts CountyLeague One · #17

2-0Tuesday, October 20

Sheffield WednesdayLeague One · #9

Match events

Notts CountySheffield Wednesday

14'⇄Gabriel·OtegbayoOff: Di'Shon Bernard
15'Callum Slattery
34'Luka Smyth
38'⚽D. KanuPenalty
45'⇄Ali Al-HamadiOff: Callum Slattery
45+2'Conor·Grant

Chances to win

Notts County%28

Draw%27

Sheffield Wednesday%45

At a glance

Over 1.5

%51Over 2.5

%55Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Notts CountyL0-2W5-1L1-2W2-1L0-2

Sheffield WednesdayW5-0D2-2W2-0W2-1D

Last 3 meetings

0Notts County won

0Draw

3Sheffield Wednesday won

3.0
Goals per game3/3
Over 2.52/3
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Notts County · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Sheffield Wednesday · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Notts County · last 10 at home4.1 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%51

Under 2.5%49

Sheffield Wednesday win%45

Not both score%45

Notts County win%28

Draw%27

Why?

Notts County · last 10 at home: both scored 7 times7/10

Sheffield Wednesday · last 10 away: both scored 7 times7/10

Notts County: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
Sheffield Wednesday: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 away matches.
Notts County scored 1.6 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Sheffield Wednesday scored 1.2 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Notts County: 10 games · Sheffield Wednesday: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.1

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.82.6

9/10Over 0.5league %929/10

8/10Over 1.5league %808/10

5/10Over 2.5league %546/10

1/10Over 3.5league %312/10

1/10Over 4.5league %151/10

6/10Both scoreleague %576/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

Notts County: 10 games · Sheffield Wednesday: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.1Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.82.3

10/10Over 0.5league %928/10

9/10Over 1.5league %808/10

3/10Over 2.5league %544/10

1/10Over 3.5league %312/10

1/10Over 4.5league %151/10

5/10Both scoreleague %574/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

3/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Sheffield Wednesday: a 7-match unbeaten run ended here.

Notts County: a 6-match wait for a win is over.

%28 Our model's pre-match chance of a Notts County win.

%84 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Notts County win 844, 124 end level and Sheffield Wednesday win 32. The actual result comes up 844 times in 1000.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 3 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 3 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Notts County · League One

Sheffield Wednesday · League One

Notts County · All games

Sheffield Wednesday · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match