Wycombe – Notts County: probabilities, statistics and live score

WycombeLeague One · #13

2-0Saturday, October 17

Notts CountyLeague One · #17

Match events

WycombeNotts County

22'Jack Grimmer
44'⚽Max SandersOwn goal
45'⇄Ishé Samuels-SmithOff: Lucas Ness
61'⇄Scott RobertsonOff: Max Sanders
62'⇄Conor·GrantOff: Jack Evans
62'⇄D. KanuOff: lee ndlovu

Chances to win

Wycombe%49

Draw%26

Notts County%25

At a glance

Over 1.5

%52Over 2.5

%56Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

WycombeL1-4W4-1D2-2W1-0W2-1

Notts CountyW5-1L1-2W2-1L0-2L

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Wycombe · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Notts County · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Wycombe · last 10 at home6.4 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners10/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners4/10

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%52

Wycombe win%49

Under 2.5%48

Not both score%44

Draw%26

Notts County win%25

Why?

Wycombe · last 10 at home: both scored 9 times9/10

Notts County · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

Wycombe: both sides scored in 9 of their last 10 home matches.
Notts County: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.
Wycombe scored 1.8 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Notts County scored 1.0 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Wycombe: 10 games · Notts County: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.5Total goals per gameleague 2.82.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

10/10Over 1.5league %808/10

7/10Over 2.5league %542/10

4/10Over 3.5league %312/10

3/10Over 4.5league %150/10

8/10Both scoreleague %574/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

0/10Failed to score3/10

Wycombe: 10 games · Notts County: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.1

3.3Total goals per gameleague 2.82.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

9/10Over 1.5league %809/10

6/10Over 2.5league %543/10

5/10Over 3.5league %311/10

3/10Over 4.5league %151/10

7/10Both scoreleague %575/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%58 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Wycombe win 583, 286 end level and Notts County win 131. The actual result comes up 583 times in 1000.

1.33 – 0.47 The score the chances deserved (xG): Wycombe 1.33 – 0.47 Notts County.

15 – 4 Shots: Wycombe 15 – 4 Notts County.

9 – 3 Corners: Wycombe 9 – 3 Notts County.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Wycombe · League One

Notts County · League One

Wycombe · All games

Notts County · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match