Barnsley – Cambridge United: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·League One · England · Matchday 11

BarnsleyLeague One · #23

1-2Saturday, October 17

Cambridge UnitedLeague One · #7

Match events

BarnsleyCambridge United

38'Reyes Cleary
41'⚽Vimal Yoganathan
43'Arley Kay
45'⇄Raees Bangura-WilliamsOff: Owen Moxon
45'⇄Shayne LaveryOff: Isaac Heath
46'Connor O'Riordan
48'

Chances to win

Barnsley%39

Draw%26

Cambridge United%35

At a glance

Over 1.5

%58Over 2.5

%61Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%61Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%58

Under 2.5%42

Not both score%39

Barnsley win%39

Cambridge United win%35

Draw%26

Why?

Barnsley: both sides scored in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

BarnsleyL1-3L1-4L3-4D1-1D3-3

Cambridge UnitedW1-0W2-1D1-1W4-1D1-1

Last 6 meetings

3Barnsley won

2Draw

1Cambridge United won

2.5
Goals per game2/6
Over 2.52/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Barnsley · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Cambridge United · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Barnsley · last 10 at home8.7 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners10/10Over 4.5 corners9/10Over 5.5 corners6/10Over 0.5 cards

Cambridge United · last 10 away5.6 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners6/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

G. Breeze, P. Bauer, S. Curtis, S. Lavery, G. Hoddle, L. Appéré, Raees Bangura-Williams

Barnsley – Cambridge UnitedFebruary 11, 2023 · League One2-0

Cambridge United – BarnsleySeptember 17, 2022 · League One0-3

Raees Bangura-Williams

52'⚽Ben KnightAssist: Shayne Lavery

66'⇄George HoddleOff: Dominic Ball

77'⇄Louis AppereOff: Gassan Ahadme

82'⇄O'Rian Andrew ReidOff: Vimal Yoganathan

83'⇄A. RichardsOff: Royce Brownlie

85'⇄Clayton TaylorOff: Tobi Adeyemo

90+1'⚽Shayne Lavery

90+2'⇄Patrick BauerOff: Shayne Lavery

Statistics

59%Possession41%

2.28Expected goals2.21

24Total shots13

7Shots on target4

11Corners11

15Fouls10

1Offsides5

5Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

2Saves6

Cambridge United: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Barnsley scored 1.4 and conceded 2.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Cambridge United scored 1.1 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Barnsley · last 10 at home: both scored 8 times8/10

Cambridge United · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

Barnsley: 10 games · Cambridge United: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.4

2.2Goals conceded (avg)0.9

3.7Total goals per gameleague 2.82.3

10/10Over 0.5league %928/10

9/10Over 1.5league %798/10

7/10Over 2.5league %544/10

5/10Over 3.5league %312/10

3/10Over 4.5league %151/10

9/10Both scoreleague %588/10

0/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

Barnsley: 10 games · Cambridge United: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.8

2.9Goals conceded (avg)1.2

4.2Total goals per gameleague 2.83.0

10/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

10/10Over 1.5league %799/10

9/10Over 2.5league %546/10

5/10Over 3.5league %313/10

4/10Over 4.5league %152/10

9/10Both scoreleague %589/10

0/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%39 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Barnsley win 416, 194 end level and Cambridge United win 390. The actual result comes up 390 times in 1000.

90+1'

Shayne Lavery decided it in minute 90.

2.28 – 2.21 The score the chances deserved (xG): Barnsley 2.28 – 2.21 Cambridge United.

7.6

Man of the match: S. Lavery (Cambridge United), rated 7.6.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Barnsley · League One

Cambridge United · League One

Barnsley · All games

Cambridge United · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Barnsley's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match