Doncaster – Sheffield Wednesday: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·League One · England · Matchday 13

DoncasterLeague One · #18

2-0Saturday, October 24

Sheffield WednesdayLeague One · #9

Match events

DoncasterSheffield Wednesday

6'⚽Owen Bailey
14'Ali Al-Hamadi
16'⚽Owen BaileyAssist: Isaac Hutchinson
45'⇄Mason BurstowOff: Jaden Heskey
68'⇄Alfie MayOff: Will Keane
68'⇄Brandon HanlanOff: Isaac Hutchinson
68'

Chances to win

Doncaster%38

Draw%26

Sheffield Wednesday%36

At a glance

Over 1.5

%57Over 2.5

%60Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%57

Under 2.5%43

Not both score%40

Doncaster win%38

Sheffield Wednesday win%36

Draw%26

Why?

Doncaster: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

DoncasterL0-2L1-2W1-0W1-0W2-0

Sheffield WednesdayL0-2W5-0D2-2W2-0W2-1

Last 5 meetings

3Doncaster won

0Draw

2Sheffield Wednesday won

1.8
Goals per game1/5
Over 2.51/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Doncaster · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Sheffield Wednesday · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Doncaster · last 10 at home3.6 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners

Sheffield Wednesday · last 10 away4.0 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

C. Trueman, S. Swinkels, Ernie Weaver, R. James, S. Fusire, W. Grainger, Mason Paul James Burstow

March 22, 2014 · Championship

Sheffield Wednesday – DoncasterSeptember 28, 2013 · Championship0-1

George BroadbentOff: Jamie Sterry

69'⇄Tommi Dylan O'ReillyOff: Hakeeb Adelakun

80'⇄William GraingerOff: Ali Al-Hamadi

81'⇄Bayley McCannOff: Leon Ayinde

88'⇄Sean FusireOff: Liam Palmer

Statistics

35%Possession65%

1.3Expected goals1.26

19Total shots13

6Shots on target8

9Corners5

9Fouls12

3Offsides0

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

8Saves4

Sheffield Wednesday: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Doncaster scored 0.8 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Sheffield Wednesday scored 1.1 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Doncaster · last 10 at home: both scored 5 times5/10

Sheffield Wednesday · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

Doncaster: 10 games · Sheffield Wednesday: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.82.6

9/10Over 0.5league %929/10

7/10Over 1.5league %798/10

3/10Over 2.5league %546/10

3/10Over 3.5league %312/10

1/10Over 4.5league %151/10

5/10Both scoreleague %586/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

Doncaster: 10 games · Sheffield Wednesday: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.4Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.82.3

10/10Over 0.5league %928/10

7/10Over 1.5league %798/10

4/10Over 2.5league %544/10

3/10Over 3.5league %312/10

1/10Over 4.5league %151/10

4/10Both scoreleague %584/10

4/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%38 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Doncaster win 380, 267 end level and Sheffield Wednesday win 352. The actual result comes up 380 times in 1000.

35 – 65 Possession (%): Doncaster 35 – 65 Sheffield Wednesday.

1.30 – 1.24 The score the chances deserved (xG): Doncaster 1.30 – 1.24 Sheffield Wednesday.

9 – 4 Corners: Doncaster 9 – 4 Sheffield Wednesday.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Doncaster · League One

Sheffield Wednesday · League One

Doncaster · All games

Sheffield Wednesday · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Doncaster's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match