Norwich – Watford: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Championship · England · Matchday 13

Norwich

3-2Saturday, October 31

Watford

Match events

NorwichWatford

10'⚽Myron BoaduAssist: Iker Bravo
27'⚽Myron BoaduAssist: Matthew Pollock
41'Matthew Pollock
53'⚽Benjamin Chrisene
61'⇄Marc BolaOff: Branimir Mlacic
62'⚽Anthony MusabaAssist: Mathias Kvistgaarden
63'

Chances to win

Norwich%61

Draw%22

Watford%17

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Norwich win.

%61Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%60

Both score%57

Not both score%43

Under 2.5%40

Draw%22

Watford win%17

Why?

Norwich won 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

NorwichW3-1L0-1L0-1L1-2L3-4

WatfordL0-1W2-0L1-5L0-4L0-1

Last 15 meetings

5Norwich won

0Draw

10Watford won

2.9
Goals per game9/15
Over 2.58/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Norwich · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Watford · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Norwich · last 10 at home5.5 corners, 2.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Watford · last 10 away3.2 corners, 2.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners0/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards9/10

Bench

V. Kovačević, H. Darling, L. Mahovo, D. Yongwa, K. Fisher, A. Ben Slimane, M. Topić, A. Crnac, J. Makama

Watford · 5-3-2

1F. Ravaglia

4K. Keben

6M. Pollock

15K. Diatta

29Branimir Mlačić

33J. Zemura

5H. Kyprianou

22M. Payero

39E. Kayembe

10M. Boadu

17Iker Bravo

Bench

D. Bachmann, M. Bola, O. Traoré, Travis Akomeah, O. Maamma, R. Vata, M. Doumbia, Amin Nabizada, S. Mavididi

Norwich – WatfordSeptember 21, 2024 · Championship4-1

Norwich – WatfordFebruary 13, 2024 · Championship4-2

Watford – NorwichNovember 28, 2023 · Championship3-2

Norwich – WatfordJanuary 2, 2023 · Championship0-1

Watford – NorwichOctober 15, 2022 · Championship2-1

Watford – NorwichJanuary 21, 2022 · Premier League0-3

Norwich – WatfordSeptember 18, 2021 · Premier League1-3

Norwich – WatfordApril 20, 2021 · Championship0-1

Watford – NorwichDecember 26, 2020 · Championship1-0

Watford – NorwichJuly 7, 2020 · Premier League2-1

Norwich – WatfordNovember 8, 2019 · Premier League0-2

71'⚽Paris MaghomaAssist: Mathias Kvistgaarden

72'⇄J. MakamaOff: Andre Brooks

72'⇄Lucien MahovoOff: Paris Maghoma

75'⇄Haktab Omar TraoreOff: Jordan Zemura

75'⇄Mamadou DoumbiaOff: Myron Boadu

81'⇄Anis Ben SlimaneOff: Mathias Kvistgaarden

81'⇄Darlin YongwaOff: Anthony Musaba

82'⇄Rocco VataOff: Martin Payero

82'⇄Othmane MaammaOff: Krépin Diatta

90'⇄Kellen FisherOff: Jack Stacey

Statistics

59%Possession41%

1.08Expected goals1

15Total shots8

5Shots on target5

9Corners2

12Fouls9

1Offsides1

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

3Saves3

Norwich scored 1.7 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Watford scored 0.4 and conceded 2.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Watford · last 10 away: 9 defeats9/10

Norwich: 10 games · Watford: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)0.4

1.5Goals conceded (avg)2.3

3.2Total goals per gameleague 2.92.7

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

8/10Over 1.5league %767/10

6/10Over 2.5league %604/10

3/10Over 3.5league %372/10

3/10Over 4.5league %142/10

7/10Both scoreleague %634/10

0/10Clean sheets0/10

3/10Failed to score6/10

Norwich: 10 games · Watford: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)0.7

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.8

3.6Total goals per gameleague 2.92.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

7/10Over 1.5league %767/10

7/10Over 2.5league %604/10

5/10Over 3.5league %372/10

3/10Over 4.5league %141/10

6/10Both scoreleague %634/10

0/10Clean sheets1/10

4/10Failed to score5/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%37 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Norwich win 370, 301 end level and Watford win 329. The actual result comes up 370 times in 1000.

1.08 – 1.00 The score the chances deserved (xG): Norwich 1.08 – 1.00 Watford.

9 – 2 Corners: Norwich 9 – 2 Watford.

8.4

Man of the match: M. Boadu (Watford), rated 8.4.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Norwich · Championship

Watford · Championship

Norwich · All games

Watford · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Norwich's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match