Wolves – Watford: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Championship · England · Matchday 12

Wolves

1-0Saturday, October 24

Watford

Match events

WolvesWatford

35'⚽Adam Armstrong
41'Kieran Trippier
41'Iker Bravo
49'Hector Kyprianou
61'⇄Mateus ManeOff: Rafiki Said Ahamada
61'⇄Jordan ZemuraOff: Marc Bola
62'

Chances to win

Wolves%66

Draw%20

Watford%13

At a glance

Over 1.5

%57Over 2.5

%51Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Wolves win.

%66Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%57

Both score%51

Not both score%49

Under 2.5%43

Draw%20

Watford win%13

Why?

Wolves won 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

WolvesD1-1W2-1L1-3L0-1W1-0

WatfordW2-0L1-5L0-4L0-1L1-2

Last 11 meetings

5Wolves won

3Draw

3Watford won

2.7
Goals per game6/11
Over 2.56/11
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Wolves · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Watford · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).4/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Wolves · last 10 at home5.7 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

Watford · last 10 away3.7 corners, 2.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards9/10

Bench

João Virgínia, Toti Gomes, J. Tchatchoua, T. Doyle, Fer López, L. Rawlings, S. Neave, T. Chirewa, M. Mane

Watford · 5-3-2

1F. Ravaglia

4K. Keben

6M. Pollock

15K. Diatta

16M. Bola

29Branimir Mlačić

5H. Kyprianou

17Iker Bravo

39E. Kayembe

9L. Kjerrumgaard

10M. Boadu

Bench

D. Bachmann, O. Traoré, J. Zemura, M. Payero, O. Maamma, R. Vata, M. Doumbia, Amin Nabizada, S. Mavididi

Watford – WolvesApril 27, 2019 · Premier League1-2

Watford – WolvesApril 7, 2019 · FA Cup2-2

Wolves – WatfordOctober 20, 2018 · Premier League0-2

Wolves – WatfordMarch 7, 2015 · Championship2-2

Watford – WolvesDecember 26, 2014 · Championship0-1

Wolves – WatfordMarch 1, 2013 · Championship1-1

Watford – WolvesNovember 17, 2012 · Championship2-1

Othmane MaammaOff: Krépin Diatta

72'⇄Mamadou DoumbiaOff: Luca Kjerrumgaard

72'⇄Martin PayeroOff: Myron Boadu

78'⇄Thomas DoyleOff: Jordan James

78'⇄Tawanda ChirewaOff: Adam Armstrong

85'⇄Rocco VataOff: Iker Bravo

90+1'⇄Toti GomesOff: Hugo Bueno

90+1'⇄Sean NeaveOff: Jean-Ricner Bellegarde

Statistics

63%Possession37%

1.88Expected goals0.15

24Total shots4

3Shots on target0

14Corners2

12Fouls11

1Offsides0

4Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

0Saves3

Wolves scored 1.5 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Watford scored 0.5 and conceded 2.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Watford · last 10 away: 9 defeats9/10

Wolves: 10 games · Watford: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)0.5

0.9Goals conceded (avg)2.4

2.7Total goals per gameleague 2.92.9

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

8/10Over 1.5league %767/10

5/10Over 2.5league %604/10

3/10Over 3.5league %373/10

1/10Over 4.5league %143/10

6/10Both scoreleague %634/10

4/10Clean sheets0/10

0/10Failed to score6/10

Wolves: 10 games · Watford: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)0.8

0.9Goals conceded (avg)2.0

2.1Total goals per gameleague 2.92.8

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

5/10Over 1.5league %767/10

4/10Over 2.5league %605/10

2/10Over 3.5league %373/10

0/10Over 4.5league %142/10

4/10Both scoreleague %634/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score5/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%81 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Wolves win 805, 171 end level and Watford win 24. The actual result comes up 805 times in 1000.

1.88 – 0.15 The score the chances deserved (xG): Wolves 1.88 – 0.15 Watford.

24 – 4 Shots: Wolves 24 – 4 Watford.

14 – 2 Corners: Wolves 14 – 2 Watford.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 11 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Wolves · Championship

Watford · Championship

Wolves · All games

Watford · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Wolves's ground

Last 11 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match