ST Johnstone – Motherwell: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Premiership · Scotland · Matchday 11

ST JohnstonePremier League · #7

2-2Wednesday, October 28

MotherwellPremier League · #9

Match events

ST JohnstoneMotherwell

19'⚽Taylor Steven
34'⚽Ibrahim SaidAssist: Emmanuel Longelo
45'⇄Jardell KangaOff: Dylan Levitt
45'⇄Lukas FadingerOff: Jordan McGhee
51'Enes Alic
51'Ibrahim Said
54'

Chances to win

ST Johnstone%37

Draw%28

Motherwell%35

At a glance

Over 1.5

%51Over 2.5

%56Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

ST JohnstoneL0-4D1-1W1-0D1-1L0-1

MotherwellL0-2L2-3L0-2L1-2L

Last 15 meetings

6ST Johnstone won

5Draw

4Motherwell won

2.5
Goals per game8/15
Over 2.511/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

ST Johnstone · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Motherwell · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

ST Johnstone · last 6 at home4.3 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/6Over 4.5 corners2/6Over 5.5 corners2/6Over 0.5 cards

Motherwell · last 8 away4.3 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/8Over 4.5 corners3/8Over 5.5 corners2/8Over 0.5 cards6/8Over 1.5 cards5/8

18Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise

Bench

M. Connelly, S. O'Donnell, Jamie Knight-Lebel, L. Fadinger, J. Kanga, M. Booth, E. Björgólfsson, R. Charles-Cook, W. Vogt

Motherwell – ST JohnstoneNovember 9, 2024 · Premiership2-1

ST Johnstone – MotherwellAugust 31, 2024 · Premiership1-2

Motherwell – ST JohnstoneMay 19, 2024 · Premiership1-2

ST Johnstone – MotherwellJanuary 27, 2024 · Premiership1-1

Motherwell – ST JohnstoneDecember 9, 2023 · Premiership1-1

ST Johnstone – MotherwellNovember 7, 2023 · Premiership2-2

ST Johnstone – MotherwellMay 13, 2023 · Premiership0-2

Motherwell – ST JohnstoneFebruary 1, 2023 · Premiership0-2

ST Johnstone – MotherwellNovember 12, 2022 · Premiership1-1

Motherwell – ST JohnstoneAugust 6, 2022 · Premiership1-2

ST Johnstone – MotherwellMarch 19, 2022 · Premiership2-1

Tawanda MaswanhiseAssist: Jake Max Girdwood-Reich

62'⇄Regan Charles-CookOff: Ibrahim Said

66'⇄Danny schmidtOff: Ruari Paton

66'⇄Josh CampbellOff: Jamie Gullan

67'⇄Joel CotterillOff: Jason Holt

80'⇄Jamie·Knight LebelOff: Tawanda Maswanhise

80'⇄Logan ChalmersOff: Taylor Steven

88'⇄Stephen O'DonnellOff: Jake Max Girdwood-Reich

90+3'⚽Josh CampbellAssist: Logan Chalmers

Statistics

56%Possession44%

1.48Expected goals1.53

15Total shots17

3Shots on target9

2Corners8

9Fouls15

0Offsides0

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

7Saves1

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%51

Under 2.5%49

Not both score%44

ST Johnstone win%37

Motherwell win%35

Draw%28

Why?

ST Johnstone · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

Motherwell · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

ST Johnstone: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Motherwell: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
ST Johnstone scored 1.9 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Motherwell scored 1.4 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

ST Johnstone: 10 games · Motherwell: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.83.2

10/10Over 0.5league %979/10

9/10Over 1.5league %788/10

5/10Over 2.5league %597/10

3/10Over 3.5league %294/10

1/10Over 4.5league %103/10

6/10Both scoreleague %577/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

ST Johnstone: 10 games · Motherwell: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.9

2.6Total goals per gameleague 2.83.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

8/10Over 1.5league %788/10

5/10Over 2.5league %596/10

3/10Over 3.5league %294/10

0/10Over 4.5league %102/10

7/10Both scoreleague %574/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%24 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), ST Johnstone win 368, 242 end level and Motherwell win 390. The actual result comes up 242 times in 1000.

%28 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

3 – 9 Shots on target: ST Johnstone 3 – 9 Motherwell.

2 – 8 Corners: ST Johnstone 2 – 8 Motherwell.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Go Premium

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Go Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at ST Johnstone's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

ST Johnstone · Premiership

Motherwell · Premiership

ST Johnstone · All games

Motherwell · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match