ST Johnstone – Dundee Utd: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Premiership · Scotland · Matchday 9

ST JohnstonePremier League · #8

1-1Saturday, October 17

Dundee UtdPremier League · #5

Match events

ST JohnstoneDundee Utd

21'⚽Josh FowlerAssist: Enes Alic
42'Dylan Tait
45'⇄Ruari PatonOff: Josh Fowler
45'⇄abdoulaye yoroOff: Daniel Bennie
63'⇄Zachary SapsfordOff: Idjessi Metsoko
63'⇄Lachlan RoseOff: Dylan Tait

Chances to win

ST Johnstone%37

Draw%27

Dundee Utd%36

At a glance

Over 1.5

%55Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%55

Under 2.5%45

Not both score%41

ST Johnstone win%37

Dundee Utd win%36

Draw%27

Why?

ST Johnstone: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

ST JohnstoneW1-0D1-1L0-1W2-1D1-1

Dundee UtdW1-0W3-0D1-1L0-3W4-0

Last 7 meetings

3ST Johnstone won

0Draw

4Dundee Utd won

2.0
Goals per game3/7
Over 2.53/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

ST Johnstone · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Dundee Utd · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

ST Johnstone · last 5 at home4.4 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners2/5Over 4.5 corners2/5Over 5.5 corners2/5Over 0.5 cards4/5Over 1.5 cards

Dundee Utd · last 8 away3.8 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/8Over 4.5 corners3/8Over 5.5 corners2/8Over 0.5 cards8/8Over 1.5 cards6/8

Bench

J. Amissah, I. Iovu, R. Graham, D. Naamo, Panutche Camará, Z. Sapsford, Abdoulaye Yoro, L. Rose, N. Farrugia

Dundee Utd – ST JohnstoneFebruary 18, 2023 · Premiership1-2

ST Johnstone – Dundee UtdJanuary 2, 2023 · Premiership0-1

Dundee Utd – ST JohnstoneOctober 1, 2022 · Premiership1-2

79'⚽Lyall CameronAssist: Jesse Randall

82'⇄Kai FotheringhamOff: Taylor Steven

82'⇄Jamie GullanOff: Sam Stanton

Statistics

38%Possession62%

1.36Expected goals1.17

11Total shots14

5Shots on target7

4Corners7

11Fouls15

2Offsides2

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

6Saves3

Dundee Utd: both sides scored in 2 of their last 10 away matches.

ST Johnstone scored 1.9 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Dundee Utd scored 1.1 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

ST Johnstone · last 10 at home: both scored 5 times5/10

ST Johnstone: 10 games · Dundee Utd: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.82.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %798/10

5/10Over 2.5league %595/10

3/10Over 3.5league %293/10

1/10Over 4.5league %110/10

6/10Both scoreleague %583/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

ST Johnstone: 10 games · Dundee Utd: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.83.0

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

7/10Over 1.5league %799/10

4/10Over 2.5league %596/10

2/10Over 3.5league %294/10

0/10Over 4.5league %111/10

6/10Both scoreleague %584/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%27 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), ST Johnstone win 412, 267 end level and Dundee Utd win 322. The actual result comes up 267 times in 1000.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.36 – 1.17 The score the chances deserved (xG): ST Johnstone 1.36 – 1.17 Dundee Utd.

8.2

Man of the match: L. Cameron (Dundee Utd), rated 8.2.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

ST Johnstone · Premiership

Dundee Utd · Premiership

ST Johnstone · All games

Dundee Utd · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at ST Johnstone's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match