Lens – Paris FC: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 1 · France · Matchday 8

LensLigue 1 · #8

2-1Saturday, October 24

Paris FCLigue 1 · #6

Match events

LensParis FC

19'VARMatthieu UdolPenalty cancelled
28'Moustapha Mbow
29'Pierre Lees Melou
45'⇄Emmanuel MbembaOff: Luca Koleosho
45+2'⚽Luca KoleoshoAssist: Lassine Sinayoko
51'VARJean-Clair TodiboRed card cancelled

Chances to win

Lens%41

Draw%26

Paris FC%34

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%63Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%63

Lens win%41

Under 2.5%40

Not both score%37

Paris FC win%34

Draw%26

Why?

Lens: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

LensL0-3W3-1L0-2W2-1L1-2

Paris FCW4-3L0-1W2-1D0-0W3-2

Last 13 meetings

6Lens won

4Draw

3Paris FC won

1.9
Goals per game5/13
Over 2.54/13
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Lens · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Paris FC · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Lens · last 10 at home7.0 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners8/10Over 0.5 cards

Paris FC · last 10 away4.1 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

M. Gorgelin, N. Äelik, K. Antonio, A. Bulatović, Y. Titraoui, T. Hazard, M. Soares, M. Skóraś, J. Kadile

Paris FC · 4-2-3-1

16O. Nkambadio

5M. Mbow

6Otávio

17A. Camara

42D. Coppola

7P. Pagis

10I. Kebbal

15L. Koleosho

20M. Lopez

33P. Lees-Melou

9L. Sinayoko

Bench

E. Mbemba, Y. Koré, T. De Smet, E. Zabi, R. Matondo, J. Krasso, O. Sissoko, M. Simon

Paris FC – LensMarch 2, 2020 · Ligue 20-2

Lens – Paris FCSeptember 28, 2019 · Ligue 22-1

Paris FC – LensMarch 3, 2019 · Ligue 22-0

Lens – Paris FCSeptember 28, 2018 · Ligue 20-0

Lens – Paris FCApril 30, 2018 · Ligue 21-0

Paris FC – LensDecember 8, 2017 · Ligue 22-2

Lens – Paris FCAugust 23, 2016 · Coupe de la Ligue0-0

Lens – Paris FCApril 29, 2016 · Ligue 20-1

Paris FC – LensDecember 11, 2015 · Ligue 20-1

61'⇄Kyllian AntonioOff: Jean-Clair Todibo

61'⇄Thorgan HazardOff: Franjo Ivanovic

63'⚽Florian ThauvinAssist: Thorgan Hazard

67'⇄Moses SimonOff: Adama Camara

67'⇄Rudy MatondoOff: Pablo Pagis

71'⇄Yassine TitraouiOff: Amadou Haidara

76'⇄Patrick ZabiOff: Ilan Kebbal

81'⇄Thibault De SmetOff: Rudy Matondo

83'⚽Thorgan HazardAssist: Florian Thauvin

85'⇄Michał SkóraśOff: Saud Abdulhamid

85'⇄Junior KadileOff: Florian Sotoca

Statistics

56%Possession44%

1.1Expected goals0.44

9Total shots4

3Shots on target1

6Corners1

17Fouls17

0Offsides1

3Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

0Saves2

Paris FC: 3+ goals in 3 of their last 10 away matches.

Lens scored 1.9 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Paris FC scored 1.0 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Lens · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Lens: 10 games · Paris FC: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.9Total goals per gameleague 3.02.2

10/10Over 0.5league %928/10

7/10Over 1.5league %797/10

5/10Over 2.5league %614/10

3/10Over 3.5league %362/10

2/10Over 4.5league %161/10

5/10Both scoreleague %637/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

Lens: 10 games · Paris FC: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.9Total goals per gameleague 3.02.8

10/10Over 0.5league %928/10

8/10Over 1.5league %797/10

7/10Over 2.5league %617/10

3/10Over 3.5league %362/10

1/10Over 4.5league %162/10

6/10Both scoreleague %636/10

0/10Clean sheets3/10

4/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%47 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Lens win 465, 370 end level and Paris FC win 165. The actual result comes up 465 times in 1000.

0.93 – 0.43 The score the chances deserved (xG): Lens 0.93 – 0.43 Paris FC.

9 – 4 Shots: Lens 9 – 4 Paris FC.

6 – 1 Corners: Lens 6 – 1 Paris FC.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 13 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Lens · Ligue 1

Paris FC · Ligue 1

Lens · All games

Paris FC · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Lens's ground

Last 13 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match