Lorient – Paris FC: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 1 · France · Matchday 6

LorientLigue 1 · #10

1-0Saturday, October 10

Paris FCLigue 1 · #6

Match events

LorientParis FC

52'Lassine Sinayoko
58'Hamari Traore
58'Samir Chergui
65'⇄Rudy MatondoOff: Adama Camara
65'⇄Patrick ZabiOff: Ilan Kebbal
66'⇄Gabin BernardeauOff: Isak Jensen

Chances to win

Lorient%30

Draw%28

Paris FC%42

At a glance

Over 1.5

%49Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Under 2.5%51

Over 2.5%49

Not both score%46

Paris FC win%42

Lorient win%30

Draw%28

Why?

Lorient: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

LorientL1-2D2-2W1-0L1-2D0-0

Paris FCW2-1D0-0W3-2W3-0D0-0

Last 5 meetings

2Lorient won

1Draw

2Paris FC won

2.6
Goals per game1/5
Over 2.52/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Lorient · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Paris FC · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Lorient · last 10 at home3.3 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

Paris FC · last 10 away3.6 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

B. Kamara, S. Kuzmić, N. Obaretin, T. Le Bris, G. Bernardeau, A. Avom, I. Baldé, S. Faye

Paris FC · 4-2-3-1

1K. Trapp

14H. Traoré

17A. Camara

31S. Chergui

42D. Coppola

7P. Pagis

10I. Kebbal

15L. Koleosho

20M. Lopez

33P. Lees-Melou

9L. Sinayoko

Bench

O. Nkambadio, E. Mbemba, M. Mbow, Otávio, T. De Smet, E. Zabi, R. Matondo, J. Krasso, O. Sissoko

Lorient – Paris FCDecember 14, 2024 · Ligue 22-0

Ibrahima BaldeOff: Mamadou Kone

66'⇄OtavioOff: Samir Chergui

68'⚽Gabin BernardeauAssist: Jean-Victor Makengo

78'⇄Omar SissokoOff: Pierre Lees Melou

78'⇄Arthur AvomOff: Alec Georgen

86'⇄Jean-Philippe KrassoOff: Lassine Sinayoko

87'⇄Nosa Edward ObaretinOff: Isaak Touré

Statistics

40%Possession60%

0.53Expected goals0.71

8Total shots16

5Shots on target3

3Corners9

9Fouls13

0Offsides3

1Yellow cards5

0Red cards0

3Saves3

Paris FC: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Lorient scored 1.4 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Paris FC scored 1.0 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Lorient · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

Paris FC · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

Lorient: 10 games · Paris FC: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.3Total goals per gameleague 3.02.2

9/10Over 0.5league %928/10

7/10Over 1.5league %797/10

4/10Over 2.5league %614/10

2/10Over 3.5league %362/10

1/10Over 4.5league %161/10

5/10Both scoreleague %637/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

Lorient: 10 games · Paris FC: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.6

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.2

1.9Total goals per gameleague 3.02.8

8/10Over 0.5league %928/10

5/10Over 1.5league %797/10

4/10Over 2.5league %617/10

2/10Over 3.5league %362/10

0/10Over 4.5league %162/10

3/10Both scoreleague %636/10

6/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Paris FC: a 6-match unbeaten run ended here.

%24 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Lorient win 239, 409 end level and Paris FC win 352. The actual result comes up 239 times in 1000.

%30 Our model's pre-match chance of a Lorient win.

8 – 16 Shots: Lorient 8 – 16 Paris FC.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Lorient · Ligue 1

Paris FC · Ligue 1

Lorient · All games

Paris FC · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Lorient's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match