Lorient – Monaco: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 1 · France · Matchday 7

LorientLigue 1 · #10

1-0Sunday, October 18

MonacoLigue 1 · #4

Match events

LorientMonaco

52'⇄E. DiopOff: T. Minamino
57'Mohammed Salisu
60'Nazinho
60'Denis Zakaria
61'⚽N. CadiouPenalty
66'Noah Cadiou
66'

Chances to win

Lorient%28

Draw%28

Monaco%44

At a glance

Over 1.5

%49Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%51Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%54

Over 2.5%49

Not both score%46

Monaco win%44

Lorient win%28

Draw%28

Why?

Lorient: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

LorientW1-0L1-2D2-2W1-0L1-2

MonacoW2-1D2-2W2-1D1-1W2-1

Last 7 meetings

2Lorient won

3Draw

2Monaco won

3.6
Goals per game6/7
Over 2.56/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Lorient · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Monaco · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Lorient · last 10 at home3.3 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

Monaco · last 10 away5.0 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

B. Kamara, A. Georgen, S. Kuzmić, N. Obaretin, P. Katseris, T. Le Bris, A. Tosin, S. Faye, M. Kone

Monaco · 4-2-3-1

1L. Hrádecký

2Vanderson

20Flávio Nazinho

22M. Salisu

72Sadibou Sané

6D. Zakaria

8L. Camara

10A. Golovin

18T. Minamino

31Ansu Fati

11M. Abline

Bench

P. Köhn, J. Teze, C. Mawissa Elebi, Pape Cabral, M. Coulibaly, E. Diop, M. Detourbet, F. Balogun, M. Biereth

Monaco – LorientApril 16, 2023 · Ligue 1

Lorient – MonacoJanuary 11, 2023 · Ligue 12-2

Monaco – LorientDecember 19, 2018 · Coupe de la Ligue1-0

C. MawissaOff: M. Salisu

66'⇄F. BalogunOff: A. Fati

66'⇄M. DetourbetOff: D. Zakaria

71'⇄M. KoneOff: I. Balde

74'⇄M. BierethOff: M. Abline

79'⇄S. FayeOff: G. Bernardeau

80'Christian Mawissa

Statistics

42%Possession58%

1.74Expected goals0.6

9Total shots15

3Shots on target4

3Corners4

10Fouls17

1Offsides0

2Yellow cards4

4Saves2

84%Pass accuracy90%

Monaco: 2 or fewer goals in 2 of their last 10 away matches.

Lorient scored 1.3 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Monaco scored 2.0 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Lorient · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Lorient: 10 games · Monaco: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.8

2.3Total goals per gameleague 3.03.6

9/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

7/10Over 1.5league %798/10

4/10Over 2.5league %617/10

2/10Over 3.5league %364/10

1/10Over 4.5league %163/10

5/10Both scoreleague %638/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

Lorient: 10 games · Monaco: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.9

0.8Goals conceded (avg)0.9

1.9Total goals per gameleague 3.02.8

8/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

5/10Over 1.5league %799/10

4/10Over 2.5league %616/10

2/10Over 3.5league %362/10

0/10Over 4.5league %161/10

3/10Both scoreleague %637/10

6/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Monaco: a 9-match unbeaten run ended here.

%28 Our model's pre-match chance of a Lorient win.

%60 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Lorient win 602, 241 end level and Monaco win 157. The actual result comes up 602 times in 1000.

7.7

Man of the match: S. Touré (Lorient), rated 7.7.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Lorient · Ligue 1

Monaco · Ligue 1

Lorient · All games

Monaco · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Lorient's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match