Angers – Marseille: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 1 · France · Matchday 7

AngersLigue 1 · #14

2-5Sunday, October 18

MarseilleLigue 1 · #9

Match events

AngersMarseille

14'⚽L. Raolisoa
37'⚽H. AbdelliAssist: T. Weah
43'⚽N. KamissokoAssist: Emerson
57'⇄P. PeterOff: L. Mouton
59'✕Amine GouiriMissed penalty
60'⇄N. AguerdOff: G. Kondogbia

Chances to win

Angers%26

Draw%25

Marseille%49

At a glance

Over 1.5

%58Over 2.5

%60Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%60

Marseille win%49

Under 2.5%42

Not both score%40

Angers win%26

Draw%25

Why?

Angers: 3+ goals in 2 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

AngersL1-5W2-0D0-0L1-2W3-1

MarseilleL0-1W2-0L1-2L1-4L0-1

Last 6 meetings

0Angers won

2Draw

4Marseille won

3.7
Goals per game4/6
Over 2.54/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Angers · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Marseille · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Angers · last 10 at home4.5 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners

Marseille · last 10 away4.5 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

Oumar Pona, J. Kalulu, Marius Louër, A. Bermont, Bane Diatta, Jules Bouffandeau, U. Simbakoli, P. Peter, Djibirin Harouna

Marseille · 4-2-3-1

1J. de Lange

4C. Egan-Riley

19G. Kondogbia

22T. Weah

33Emerson

6T. Nnadi

8H. Abdelli

14Igor Paixão

77A. Harit

9A. Gouiri

Bench

T. Vermot, B. Meité, N. Aguerd, U. Garcia, K. Bezahaf, A. Gomes, N. Maupay, T. Mmadi, K. Abdallah

Marseille – AngersMay 14, 2023 · Ligue 1

Angers – MarseilleSeptember 30, 2022 · Ligue 10-3

72'⇄J. KaluluOff: E. Biumla

72'⇄H. DjibirinOff: J. Allevinah

75'⚽A. El OuazzaniPenalty

80'⇄A. GomesOff: N. Kamissoko

80'⇄K. AbdallahOff: H. Abdelli

83'⚽A. HaritAssist: T. Nnadi

85'⚽I. PaixaoAssist: T. Weah

89'⇄B. DiattaOff: A. El Ouazzani

89'⇄A. BermontOff: A. Sbai

90'⇄U. GarciaOff: A. Harit

90'⇄N. MaupayOff: T. Nnadi

Statistics

42%Possession58%

2.21Expected goals2.71

11Total shots21

3Shots on target8

2Corners5

11Fouls12

1Yellow cards1

3Saves1

85%Pass accuracy87%

Marseille: 3+ goals in 3 of their last 10 away matches.

Angers scored 0.6 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Marseille scored 0.6 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Angers: 10 games · Marseille: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.7Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.3Total goals per gameleague 3.02.7

8/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

8/10Over 1.5league %797/10

3/10Over 2.5league %614/10

1/10Over 3.5league %362/10

1/10Over 4.5league %162/10

4/10Both scoreleague %633/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

5/10Failed to score5/10

Angers: 10 games · Marseille: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.9

2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.03.4

8/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

8/10Over 1.5league %797/10

4/10Over 2.5league %615/10

3/10Over 3.5league %364/10

2/10Over 4.5league %164/10

6/10Both scoreleague %635/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

2.06 – 2.77 The score the chances deserved (xG): Angers 2.06 – 2.77 Marseille.

%53 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Angers win 287, 178 end level and Marseille win 534. The actual result comes up 534 times in 1000.

3 – 8 Shots on target: Angers 3 – 8 Marseille.

8.3

Man of the match: T. Weah (Marseille), rated 8.3.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Angers · Ligue 1

Marseille · Ligue 1

Angers · All games

Marseille · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Angers's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match