Stade Brestois 29 – Angers: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 1 · France · Matchday 6

Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 · #13

5-1Saturday, October 10

AngersLigue 1 · #14

Match events

Stade Brestois 29Angers

9'⚽Ludovic AjorqueAssist: Hugo Magnetti
15'Ludovic Ajorque
17'⚽Lucas TousartAssist: Joris Chotard
30'⚽Kenny LalaPenalty
34'⇄Emmanuel BiumlaOff: Ousmane Camara
45'⇄Lillian Rao-LisoaOff: Marius Louer

Chances to win

Stade Brestois 29%51

Draw%25

Angers%24

At a glance

Over 1.5

%56Over 2.5

%58Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%58

Stade Brestois 29 win%51

Under 2.5%44

Not both score%42

Draw%25

Angers win%24

Why?

Stade Brestois 29: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Stade Brestois 29L1-2L0-1W2-1D2-2D2-2

AngersW2-0D0-0L1-2W3-1L0-2

Last 7 meetings

5Stade Brestois 29 won

1Draw

1Angers won

2.4
Goals per game2/7
Over 2.52/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Stade Brestois 29 · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Angers · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Stade Brestois 29 · last 10 at home3.8 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners

Angers · last 10 away4.0 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards4/10

Bench

M. Patouillet, J. Bourgault, L. Zogbe, E. Mailly, M. Diambou, J. Nonge Boende, N. Edjouma, Ibrahim Yayiya Kante, D. N´Guessan

Angers · 4-2-3-1

1Anthony Lopes

4O. Camara

17J. Kalulu

20Marius Louër

21J. Lefort

8B. van den Boomen

10A. Sbaï

14Y. Belkhdim

18J. Allevinah

93H. Belkebla

9P. Peter

Bench

Oumar Pona, C. Arcus, L. Rao-Lisoa, M. Gernigon, L. Mouton, E. Biumla, A. Bermont, Djibirin Harouna, A. El Ouazzani

Stade Brestois 29 – AngersJanuary 6, 2024 · Coupe de France1-0

Stade Brestois 29 – AngersJanuary 29, 2023 · Ligue 14-0

Angers – Stade Brestois 29August 21, 2022 · Ligue 11-3

Mama BaldéAssist: Pathé Mboup

47'⚽Prosper PeterAssist: Joseph Kalulu

54'⚽Pathé MboupAssist: Ludovic Ajorque

58'VARJordan LefortCard upgrade confirmed

61'⇄Joseph NongeOff: Mama Baldé

62'⇄Maël GernigonOff: Yassine Belkdim

62'⇄Amine El OuazzaniOff: Prosper Peter

79'⇄Mamady DiambouOff: Joris Chotard

79'⇄Noah EdjoumaOff: Kamory Doumbia

85'⇄Ibrahim Yayiya KantéOff: Pathé Mboup

85'⇄Louis MoutonOff: Haris Belkebla

86'⇄Djylian N´GuessanOff: Ludovic Ajorque

87'Branco Van den Boomen

Statistics

54%Possession46%

3.79Expected goals1.45

19Total shots9

9Shots on target3

4Corners5

6Fouls11

1Offsides0

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards1

2Saves4

Angers: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Stade Brestois 29 scored 1.6 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Angers scored 0.8 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Stade Brestois 29: 10 games · Angers: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.6Goals conceded (avg)2.1

3.6Total goals per gameleague 3.03.0

10/10Over 0.5league %929/10

9/10Over 1.5league %798/10

6/10Over 2.5league %615/10

4/10Over 3.5league %364/10

3/10Over 4.5league %162/10

7/10Both scoreleague %636/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

Stade Brestois 29: 10 games · Angers: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.02.8

10/10Over 0.5league %928/10

9/10Over 1.5league %798/10

7/10Over 2.5league %614/10

3/10Over 3.5league %363/10

1/10Over 4.5league %162/10

9/10Both scoreleague %636/10

0/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

3.79 – 1.45 The score the chances deserved (xG): Stade Brestois 29 3.79 – 1.45 Angers.

%79 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Stade Brestois 29 win 790, 109 end level and Angers win 101. The actual result comes up 790 times in 1000.

19 – 9 Shots: Stade Brestois 29 19 – 9 Angers.

9 – 3 Shots on target: Stade Brestois 29 9 – 3 Angers.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1

Angers · Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 · All games

Angers · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Stade Brestois 29's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match