Marseille – Olympiakos Piraeus: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·UEFA Europa League · League phase · Matchday 2

MarseilleLigue 1 · #9

0-1Thursday, October 15

Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League · #2

Match events

MarseilleOlympiakos Piraeus

36'Keyliane Abdallah
42'⚽Santiago HezzeAssist: Chiquinho
43'Panagiotis Retsos
60'Bruno Onyemaechi
62'⇄Amine HaritOff: Tochukwu Nnadi
62'⇄Amine GouiriOff: Neal Maupay

Chances to win

Marseille%41

Draw%27

Olympiakos Piraeus%31

At a glance

Over 1.5

%52Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%52

Under 2.5%48

Not both score%43

Marseille win%41

Olympiakos Piraeus win%31

Draw%27

Why?

Marseille: both sides scored in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

MarseilleW2-0L1-2L1-4L0-1L2-3

Olympiakos PiraeusW1-0W1-0W2-1L0-1W3-2

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Marseille · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Olympiakos Piraeus · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Marseille · last 10 at home5.8 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

Olympiakos Piraeus · last 9 away5.2 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/9Over 4.5 corners5/9Over 5.5 corners4/9Over 0.5 cards9/9Over 1.5 cards6/9

Bench

J. Van Neck, T. Vermot, C. Egan-Riley, U. Garcia, E. Mbondo, K. Bezahaf, G. Kondogbia, A. Harit, A. Gouiri, F. Moumbagna, T. Mmadi

Olympiakos Piraeus · 4-2-3-1

1S. Ortega

2M. Saliakas

5L. Pirola

45P. Retsos

70S. Onyemaechi

10Gelson Martins

15G. Puerta

20Jota Silva

22Chiquinho

32S. Hezze

11R. Yaremchuk

Bench

D. Stournaras, I. Georgakopoulos, Z. Smajlović, David Carmo, M. Pedersen, N. Tiknizyan, K. Fortounis, Gustavo Sá, R. Freuler, C. Filis, A. González

Ulisses GarciaOff: Emerson Palmieri

67'⇄Remo FreulerOff: Gustavo Puerta

67'⇄Armando GonzálezOff: Roman Yaremchuk

72'⇄Kostas FortounisOff: Jota Silva

73'⇄Nayair TiknizyanOff: Bruno Onyemaechi

75'⇄Faris MoumbagnaOff: Angel Gomes

80'⇄Geoffrey KondogbiaOff: Keyliane Abdallah

82'⇄Gustavo SáOff: Chiquinho

Statistics

56%Possession44%

0.9Expected goals0.63

11Total shots9

5Shots on target4

9Corners1

15Fouls11

3Offsides3

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

3Saves5

Olympiakos Piraeus: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Marseille scored 2.1 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Olympiakos Piraeus scored 1.7 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Marseille · last 10 at home: both scored 8 times8/10

Olympiakos Piraeus · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

Marseille: 10 games · Olympiakos Piraeus: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.4Goals conceded (avg)0.6

3.4Total goals per gameleague 2.92.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

8/10Over 1.5league %767/10

7/10Over 2.5league %602/10

5/10Over 3.5league %332/10

2/10Over 4.5league %170/10

7/10Both scoreleague %464/10

2/10Clean sheets6/10

1/10Failed to score0/10

Marseille: 10 games · Olympiakos Piraeus: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.9Goals conceded (avg)0.4

3.4Total goals per gameleague 2.92.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

7/10Over 1.5league %765/10

5/10Over 2.5league %603/10

4/10Over 3.5league %332/10

4/10Over 4.5league %172/10

5/10Both scoreleague %462/10

1/10Clean sheets7/10

4/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%24 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Marseille win 399, 358 end level and Olympiakos Piraeus win 243. The actual result comes up 243 times in 1000.

9 – 1 Corners: Marseille 9 – 1 Olympiakos Piraeus.

Olympiakos Piraeus: win number 4 in a row.

%31 Our model's pre-match chance of an Olympiakos Piraeus win.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Marseille · UEFA Europa League

Olympiakos Piraeus · UEFA Europa League

Marseille · All games

Olympiakos Piraeus · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match