The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.
%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Not both score%51
Both score%49
Olympiakos Piraeus win%46
Over 2.5%44
Draw%29
Panathinaikos win%24
Why?
Olympiakos Piraeus: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Olympiakos PiraeusW1-0W2-1L0-1W3-2D1-1
PanathinaikosW1-0W2-0W3-0W3-1W3-1
Last 15 meetings
5Olympiakos Piraeus won
6Draw
4Panathinaikos won
2.0 Goals per game3/15 Over 2.56/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Olympiakos Piraeus · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.
Panathinaikos · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Olympiakos Piraeus · last 9 at home8.1 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/9Over 4.5 corners9/9Over 5.5 corners5/9Over 0.5 cards
Referee
Alejandro Hernandez4.9 cards a match in 26 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Olympiakos Piraeus · Super League 1
5W 3D 2LScored 10 · conceded 72.5 Üst 1/10KG 4/10
Panathinaikos · Super League 1
5W 2D 3LScored 15 · conceded 92.5 Üst 5/10KG 4/10
Olympiakos Piraeus · All games
6W 3D 1LScored 14 · conceded 62.5 Üst 3/10KG 4/10
Panathinaikos · All games
7W 3D 0LScored 19 · conceded 62.5 Üst 4/10KG 5/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Olympiakos Piraeus · 4-2-3-1
1S. Ortega
2M. Saliakas
5L. Pirola
45P. Retsos
71N. Tiknizyan
7K. Fortounis
15G. Puerta
19R. Freuler
20Jota Silva
22Chiquinho
99M. Mouandilmadji
Bench
B. Popović, Z. Smajlović, David Carmo, M. Pedersen, S. Onyemaechi, Gustavo Sá, Gelson Martins, S. Hezze, Joel Roca, R. Yaremchuk, L. Bailey, A. González
Panathinaikos · 4-4-2
1Iñaki Peña
This fixture at Olympiakos Piraeus's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 8
3Olympiakos Piraeus won
3Draw
2Panathinaikos won
Olympiakos Piraeus last won here on May 13, 2026: Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Panathinaikos.Panathinaikos last won here on Feb 8, 2026: Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 Panathinaikos.2.1 goals a game here · over 2.5 2/8 · BTTS 4/8
Last 15 meetings
5Olympiakos Piraeus won
6Draw
4Panathinaikos won
2.0 Goals per game3/15 Over 2.56/15 Both score
Previous meetings
Olympiakos Piraeus – PanathinaikosMay 13, 2026 · Super League 11-0
Panathinaikos – Olympiakos PiraeusApril 19, 2026 · Super League 10-2
Olympiakos Piraeus – PanathinaikosFebruary 8, 2026 · Super League 10-1
Panathinaikos – Olympiakos Piraeus
8/9
Over 1.5 cards4/9
Panathinaikos · last 9 away4.3 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners5/9Over 5.5 corners3/9Over 0.5 cards9/9Over 1.5 cards5/9
L. Chaves, K. Kotsaris, A. Salah-Eddine, E. Palmer-Brown, Pedro Chirivella, Adriano Jagušić, T. Tsapras, F. Pellistri, K. Kangwa, C. Dessers, E. Rastoder, L. García
September 21, 2025 · Super League 1
1-1
Panathinaikos – Olympiakos PiraeusMay 11, 2025 · Super League 10-1
Olympiakos Piraeus – PanathinaikosMarch 30, 2025 · Super League 14-2
Olympiakos Piraeus – PanathinaikosJanuary 26, 2025 · Super League 11-1
Panathinaikos – Olympiakos PiraeusOctober 6, 2024 · Super League 10-0
Panathinaikos – Olympiakos PiraeusMay 19, 2024 · Super League 12-2
Olympiakos Piraeus – PanathinaikosMarch 10, 2024 · Super League 11-3
Panathinaikos – Olympiakos PiraeusFebruary 4, 2024 · Super League 12-0
Olympiakos Piraeus – PanathinaikosOctober 22, 2023 · Super League 11-1
Olympiakos Piraeus – PanathinaikosMay 8, 2023 · Super League 11-0
Panathinaikos – Olympiakos PiraeusApril 9, 2023 · Super League 12-0
Olympiakos Piraeus – PanathinaikosFebruary 25, 2023 · Super League 10-0
45+2'
Panagiotis Retsos
47'Anass Salah-Eddine
51'Stefan de Vrij
62'⇄Levi GarcíaOff: Vicente Taborda
63'Manolis Saliakas
66'Manolis Saliakas
69'⇄Roman YaremchukOff: Marius Mouandilmadji
70'⇄Gelson MartinsOff: Kostas Fortounis
70'⇄Marcus PedersenOff: Chiquinho
73'⇄Cyriel DessersOff: Santino Andino
77'Levi García
82'Imrân Louza
83'⇄Bruno OnyemaechiOff: Nayair Tiknizyan
83'⇄Adriano JagusicOff: Azzedine Ounahi
89'⇄Santiago HezzeOff: Gustavo Puerta
90+3'Adriano Jagusic
Statistics
40%Possession60%
0.81Expected goals0.53
12Total shots9
2Shots on target2
2Corners7
20Fouls18
2Offsides1
2Yellow cards7
1Red cards0
2Saves1
Panathinaikos: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.
Olympiakos Piraeus scored 0.8 and conceded 0.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Panathinaikos scored 1.2 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.
Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.
Olympiakos Piraeus · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10
Panathinaikos · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10
Olympiakos Piraeus: 10 games · Panathinaikos: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.5Goals scored (avg)1.5
0.5Goals conceded (avg)0.6
2.0Total goals per gameleague 2.82.1
9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10
4/10Over 1.5league %806/10
3/10Over 2.5league %522/10
2/10Over 3.5league %341/10
2/10Over 4.5league %161/10
3/10Both scoreleague %504/10
6/10Clean sheets4/10
2/10Failed to score2/10
Olympiakos Piraeus: 10 games · Panathinaikos: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.8Goals scored (avg)2.4
0.4Goals conceded (avg)0.6
2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.83.0
10/10Over 0.5league %9310/10
5/10Over 1.5league %807/10
3/10Over 2.5league %526/10
2/10Over 3.5league %343/10
2/10Over 4.5league %162/10
2/10Both scoreleague %505/10
7/10Clean sheets4/10
1/10Failed to score1/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
12 Panathinaikos: a 12-match unbeaten run ended here.
%39 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Olympiakos Piraeus win 392, 387 end level and Panathinaikos win 221. The actual result comes up 392 times in 1000.
Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League · #1
PanathinaikosSuper League · #2