ADO Den Haag – Heerenveen: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eredivisie · Netherlands · Matchday 10

ADO Den HaagEredivisie · #17

2-3Saturday, October 24

HeerenveenEredivisie · #7

Match events

ADO Den HaagHeerenveen

24'⚽Jacob TrenskowAssist: Maxence Rivera
45'⇄Daryl van MieghemOff: Jesse Bal
51'⚽Ringo MeerveldAssist: Oliver Johansen Braude
56'⇄Milan HokkeOff: Sekou Sylla
56'⇄Nigel ThomasOff: Matěj Šín
57'⚽Nigel Thomas
59'

Chances to win

ADO Den Haag%28

Draw%25

Heerenveen%47

At a glance

Over 1.5

%63Over 2.5

%64Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%64

Heerenveen win%47

Under 2.5%37

Not both score%36

ADO Den Haag win%28

Draw%25

Why?

ADO Den Haag: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

ADO Den HaagW2-1D2-2D1-1L0-2L2-3

HeerenveenW4-0L0-2W4-0D0-0L2-3

Last 15 meetings

1ADO Den Haag won

6Draw

8Heerenveen won

2.5
Goals per game7/15
Over 2.57/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

ADO Den Haag · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Heerenveen · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

ADO Den Haag · last 10 at home6.2 corners, 1.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners

Heerenveen · last 10 away5.1 corners, 1.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners6/10Over 0.5 cards7/10Over 1.5 cards2/10

Bench

N. Thiede, O. Raterink, Illaijh de Ruijter, M. Hokke, L. Wilhelm, J. Žambůrek, M. Jiménez, Finn de Bruin, D. van Mieghem, C. Peupion, N. Thomas

Heerenveen · 4-2-3-1

1B. Klaverboer

3M. Willemsen

4S. Kersten

19V. Zagaritis

45O. Braude

7M. Rivera

8N. Courtens

10R. Meerveld

16M. Linday

20J. Trenskow

9D. Vente

Bench

T. Schreuder, A. Noppert, M. Hilgers, M. Egbring, D. Bladi, H. Petrov, Anass Bouziane, L. Oyen, R. Uldriķis, M. Farji, L. Machine

ADO Den Haag – HeerenveenMarch 9, 2019 · Eredivisie2-3

Heerenveen – ADO Den HaagSeptember 29, 2018 · Eredivisie1-1

Heerenveen – ADO Den HaagApril 17, 2018 · Eredivisie2-0

ADO Den Haag – HeerenveenAugust 26, 2017 · Eredivisie1-2

Heerenveen – ADO Den HaagJanuary 14, 2017 · Eredivisie2-0

ADO Den Haag – HeerenveenSeptember 24, 2016 · Eredivisie0-3

ADO Den Haag – HeerenveenMay 8, 2016 · Eredivisie1-1

Heerenveen – ADO Den HaagDecember 20, 2015 · Eredivisie0-4

ADO Den Haag – HeerenveenMarch 7, 2015 · Eredivisie0-1

Heerenveen – ADO Den HaagDecember 19, 2014 · Eredivisie0-0

Heerenveen – ADO Den HaagFebruary 1, 2014 · Eredivisie3-0

Yannick Fereira Eduardo

66'⚽Jacob TrenskowAssist: Maxence Rivera

67'⇄Cameron PeupionOff: Jalen Hawkins

72'⚽Nigel ThomasAssist: Evan Rottier

73'⇄Roberts UldriķisOff: Dylan Vente

73'⇄Luca OyenOff: Ringo Meerveld

81'⇄Alejandro PozoOff: Jonas Jensen-Abbew

86'⇄Marko FarjiOff: Maxence Rivera

90'⇄Hristiyan PetrovOff: Jacob Trenskow

Statistics

53%Possession47%

2.9Expected goals2.5

22Total shots16

7Shots on target5

8Corners2

19Fouls7

3Offsides3

1Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

2Saves5

Heerenveen: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

ADO Den Haag scored 2.4 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Heerenveen scored 1.6 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

ADO Den Haag · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Heerenveen · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

ADO Den Haag: 10 games · Heerenveen: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.3Goals scored (avg)1.7

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.8Total goals per gameleague 3.83.3

10/10Over 0.5league %9910/10

8/10Over 1.5league %9110/10

7/10Over 2.5league %736/10

6/10Over 3.5league %615/10

5/10Over 4.5league %322/10

7/10Both scoreleague %724/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

0/10Failed to score3/10

ADO Den Haag: 10 games · Heerenveen: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.9

2.2Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.6Total goals per gameleague 3.83.2

10/10Over 0.5league %999/10

10/10Over 1.5league %919/10

7/10Over 2.5league %736/10

6/10Over 3.5league %616/10

3/10Over 4.5league %322/10

9/10Both scoreleague %724/10

0/10Clean sheets4/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%35 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), ADO Den Haag win 480, 174 end level and Heerenveen win 347. The actual result comes up 347 times in 1000.

8 – 2 Corners: ADO Den Haag 8 – 2 Heerenveen.

2.90 – 2.50 The score the chances deserved (xG): ADO Den Haag 2.90 – 2.50 Heerenveen.

9.2

Man of the match: J. Trenskow (Heerenveen), rated 9.2.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie

Heerenveen · Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag · All games

Heerenveen · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at ADO Den Haag's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match