Dordrecht – VVV Venlo: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Matchday 12

DordrechtEerste Divisie: Regular season · #18

2-4Saturday, October 24

VVV VenloEerste Divisie: Regular season · #2

Match events

DordrechtVVV Venlo

8'⚽Thomas JanssenAssist: Mohammed Odriss
17'⚽Eanna Clancy
33'⚽Ismail Oulad M'HandAssist: Mohammed Odriss
36'Raf Vullers
45'⇄Yannis M'BembaOff: Senne Vugts
45'⇄Robin van AstenOff: nicolas rossi

Chances to win

Dordrecht%38

Draw%25

VVV Venlo%37

At a glance

Over 1.5

%63Over 2.5

%66Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%66

Dordrecht win%38

Under 2.5%37

VVV Venlo win%37

Not both score%34

Draw%25

Why?

Dordrecht: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

DordrechtW1-0L0-3D1-1W3-2L0-3

VVV VenloD4-4W3-0W2-0L2-3W3-1

Last 12 meetings

6Dordrecht won

0Draw

6VVV Venlo won

3.5
Goals per game8/12
Over 2.57/12
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Dordrecht · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

VVV Venlo · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Dordrecht · last 10 at home5.7 corners, 2.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

VVV Venlo · last 10 away4.9 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards6/10Over 1.5 cards3/10

8Ismail Oulad M'Hand

Bench

T. Doornbusch, Zidane Taylan, Tijn Joosten, L. Görlich, M. Davis, Yousri El Anbri, M. Tsigkas, A. Rais, D. Hendrix, M. van Grootel

Dordrecht – VVV VenloFebruary 16, 2024 · Eerste Divisie1-0

VVV Venlo – DordrechtDecember 8, 2023 · Eerste Divisie3-1

Dordrecht – VVV VenloFebruary 17, 2023 · Eerste Divisie1-2

VVV Venlo – DordrechtOctober 14, 2022 · Eerste Divisie0-1

VVV Venlo – DordrechtJanuary 30, 2022 · Eerste Divisie4-2

Dordrecht – VVV VenloSeptember 5, 2021 · Eerste Divisie0-1

Dordrecht – VVV VenloMarch 17, 2017 · Eerste Divisie5-2

VVV Venlo – DordrechtNovember 4, 2016 · Eerste Divisie3-1

56'⚽Lorenzo RiccioAssist: Robin van Asten

58'Beni Christophe Mpanzu

61'⇄Lucas GardenierOff: Beni Christophe Mpanzu

71'⇄Amir raisOff: Thomas Janssen

71'⇄Michael DavisOff: Lars de Blok

75'⇄Siginho GerardoOff: J. de Bie

77'Ismail Oulad M'Hand

80'⇄Luis GorlichOff: Raf Vullers

80'⇄Mattheos TsigkasOff: L. Schmidt

84'⇄Rocharnio LenzOff: Jurre van Aken

87'⇄Tijn JoostenOff: Eanna Clancy

90+3'⚽Rocharnio Lenz

Statistics

59%Possession41%

0.82Expected goals1.04

8Total shots13

4Shots on target6

8Corners2

19Fouls18

3Offsides2

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

2Saves2

VVV Venlo: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Dordrecht scored 1.3 and conceded 2.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

VVV Venlo scored 1.5 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Dordrecht · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

VVV Venlo · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Dordrecht: 10 games · VVV Venlo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)2.0

2.4Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.8Total goals per gameleague 3.63.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

8/10Over 1.5league %869/10

8/10Over 2.5league %687/10

4/10Over 3.5league %445/10

3/10Over 4.5league %283/10

6/10Both scoreleague %706/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

Dordrecht: 10 games · VVV Venlo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)2.5

3.0Goals conceded (avg)1.8

4.4Total goals per gameleague 3.64.3

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8610/10

8/10Over 2.5league %688/10

5/10Over 3.5league %446/10

5/10Over 4.5league %284/10

7/10Both scoreleague %707/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%40 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Dordrecht win 281, 320 end level and VVV Venlo win 399. The actual result comes up 399 times in 1000.

8 – 2 Corners: Dordrecht 8 – 2 VVV Venlo.

0.82 – 1.04 The score the chances deserved (xG): Dordrecht 0.82 – 1.04 VVV Venlo.

7.8

Man of the match: L. Riccio (Dordrecht), rated 7.8.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 12 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Dordrecht · Eerste Divisie

VVV Venlo · Eerste Divisie

Dordrecht · All games

VVV Venlo · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Dordrecht's ground

Last 12 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match