Jong PSV U21 – Dordrecht: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Matchday 11

Jong PSV U21Eerste Divisie: Regular season · #11

0-1Monday, October 19

DordrechtEerste Divisie: Regular season · #18

Match events

Jong PSV U21Dordrecht

11'Boet Mulders
12'⚽J. de BiePenalty
40'nicolas rossi
45'⇄Michael BresserOff: Philip Holseter-Karlsen
45'⇄Samuel DumbiliOff: Sami Ouaissa
61'⇄Siginho GerardoOff: nicolas rossi

Chances to win

Jong PSV U21%45

Draw%24

Dordrecht%31

At a glance

Over 1.5

%67Over 2.5

%67Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%67Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%67

Jong PSV U21 win%45

Under 2.5%33

Not both score%33

Dordrecht win%31

Draw%24

Why?

Jong PSV U21: 3+ goals in 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Jong PSV U21D1-1L1-3D1-1L1-3W3-1

DordrechtL0-3D1-1W3-2L0-3L1-2

Last 8 meetings

3Jong PSV U21 won

1Draw

4Dordrecht won

2.3
Goals per game3/8
Over 2.54/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Jong PSV U21 · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Dordrecht · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Jong PSV U21 · last 10 at home5.7 corners, 1.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

Dordrecht · last 10 away4.7 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards9/10

Bench

Dean Hogervorst, A. Lechkar, Y. M'Bemba, L. Woudenberg, B. Hardley, Bae Seung-Gyun, Y. Younous, L. Román, Siginho Gerardo

Jong PSV U21 – DordrechtFebruary 26, 2024 · Eerste Divisie0-1

Dordrecht – Jong PSV U21November 10, 2023 · Eerste Divisie1-4

Dordrecht – Jong PSV U21April 7, 2023 · Eerste Divisie1-0

Jong PSV U21 – DordrechtAugust 15, 2022 · Eerste Divisie1-0

Jairo BeerensOff: Fabio Kluit

82'⇄Lyfe OldenstamOff: Kyano Penso

82'⇄Mathieu BuyensOff: Boet Mulders

86'⇄Lucas GardenierOff: Robin van Asten

87'⇄Adil LechkarOff: J. de Bie

90+4'⇄Yannis M'BembaOff: Martin Vetkal

90+4'⇄Seung-Gyun BaeOff: Senne Vugts

Statistics

59%Possession41%

0.23Expected goals2.1

4Total shots21

0Shots on target3

3Corners9

9Fouls18

1Offsides2

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

2Saves0

Dordrecht: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Jong PSV U21 scored 1.2 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Dordrecht scored 1.0 and conceded 2.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Dordrecht · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Jong PSV U21: 10 games · Dordrecht: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.1Goals conceded (avg)2.5

2.2Total goals per gameleague 3.63.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

6/10Over 1.5league %869/10

3/10Over 2.5league %687/10

2/10Over 3.5league %445/10

1/10Over 4.5league %283/10

5/10Both scoreleague %708/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

Jong PSV U21: 10 games · Dordrecht: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.4Goals conceded (avg)3.0

3.3Total goals per gameleague 3.64.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

9/10Over 1.5league %869/10

6/10Over 2.5league %688/10

5/10Over 3.5league %445/10

1/10Over 4.5league %285/10

8/10Both scoreleague %707/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%31 Our model's pre-match chance of an Dordrecht win.

%82 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Jong PSV U21 win 29, 148 end level and Dordrecht win 823. The actual result comes up 823 times in 1000.

0.21 – 2.10 The score the chances deserved (xG): Jong PSV U21 0.21 – 2.10 Dordrecht.

4 – 21 Shots: Jong PSV U21 4 – 21 Dordrecht.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Jong PSV U21 · Eerste Divisie

Dordrecht · Eerste Divisie

Jong PSV U21 · All games

Dordrecht · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Jong PSV U21's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match