Dordrecht – Emmen: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Matchday 10

DordrechtEerste Divisie: Regular season · #18

0-3Friday, October 9

EmmenEerste Divisie: Regular season · #3

Match events

DordrechtEmmen

29'⚽Jack Cooper LoveAssist: Sybrand Veldhuis
32'A. Ouarghi
42'⚽Freddy QuispelAssist: Jack Cooper Love
43'nicolas rossi
45'⇄Adil LechkarOff: Jurre van Aken
45'⇄Lucas Ayrton RománOff: nicolas rossi
45+1'

Chances to win

Dordrecht%34

Draw%24

Emmen%41

At a glance

Over 1.5

%64Over 2.5

%66Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%64Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%66

Emmen win%41

Under 2.5%36

Dordrecht win%34

Not both score%34

Draw%24

Why?

Dordrecht: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

DordrechtD1-1W3-2L0-3L1-2L3-6

EmmenD1-1W1-0L1-3L1-2W5-3

Last 8 meetings

5Dordrecht won

1Draw

2Emmen won

2.9
Goals per game5/8
Over 2.54/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Dordrecht · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Emmen · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Dordrecht · last 10 at home6.1 corners, 2.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

Emmen · last 10 away5.8 corners, 3.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners6/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

K. Roos, Kevin Norder, J. Mukeh, C. Østergaard, V. Carus, Mustafa Abdullatif, C. Sunder, J. Huijzer, D. Lambers

Dordrecht – EmmenMay 18, 2024 · Eredivisie0-1

Emmen – DordrechtMay 14, 2024 · Eredivisie2-2

Dordrecht – EmmenDecember 23, 2023 · Eerste Divisie2-1

Emmen – DordrechtSeptember 1, 2023 · Eerste Divisie2-4

45+1'Jack Cooper Love

63'⇄Mustafa AbdullatifOff: Freddy Quispel

63'⇄Siginho GerardoOff: Martin Vetkal

63'⇄Robin van AstenOff: J. de Bie

71'⇄Daan LambersOff: Sybrand Veldhuis

71'⇄V CarusOff: Bryan Van Hove

82'⚽Mustafa AbdullatifAssist: Luca Everink

90+2'⇄Joshua MukehOff: Alessandro Hojabrpour

90+2'⇄Chiel SunderOff: Michael Breij

Statistics

53%Possession47%

1.05Expected goals1.25

6Total shots7

3Shots on target4

3Corners3

5Fouls10

1Offsides1

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

1Saves3

Emmen: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Dordrecht scored 1.3 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Emmen scored 1.6 and conceded 2.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Dordrecht · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Emmen · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Dordrecht: 10 games · Emmen: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)2.0

2.4Goals conceded (avg)2.2

3.8Total goals per gameleague 3.64.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

8/10Over 1.5league %8610/10

8/10Over 2.5league %687/10

4/10Over 3.5league %446/10

3/10Over 4.5league %283/10

6/10Both scoreleague %705/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

Dordrecht: 10 games · Emmen: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.8

3.0Goals conceded (avg)1.4

4.4Total goals per gameleague 3.63.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

9/10Over 1.5league %869/10

8/10Over 2.5league %686/10

5/10Over 3.5league %443/10

5/10Over 4.5league %281/10

7/10Both scoreleague %705/10

1/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.05 – 1.25 The score the chances deserved (xG): Dordrecht 1.05 – 1.25 Emmen.

%41 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Dordrecht win 310, 282 end level and Emmen win 408. The actual result comes up 408 times in 1000.

8.1

Man of the match: J. Cooper (Emmen), rated 8.1.

%41 Our model's pre-match chance of an Emmen win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Dordrecht · Eerste Divisie

Emmen · Eerste Divisie

Dordrecht · All games

Emmen · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Dordrecht's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match