Roda – Jong PSV U21: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Matchday 10

RodaEerste Divisie: Regular season · #5

1-1Friday, October 9

Jong PSV U21Eerste Divisie: Regular season · #11

Match events

RodaJong PSV U21

45'⇄Cain SeedorfOff: Bram Marsman
45'⇄Mitchel PaulissenOff: X. van den Berg
66'⇄Rayan KhoumsOff: Koen Jansen
66'⇄Joey SleegersOff: Dario Van Den Buijs
71'⇄Kyano PensoOff: Lyfe Oldenstam
71'⇄Jairo BeerensOff: Samuel Dumbili

Chances to win

Roda%54

Draw%23

Jong PSV U21%24

At a glance

Over 1.5

%65Over 2.5

%64Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%65Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%64

Roda win%54

Not both score%36

Under 2.5%35

Jong PSV U21 win%24

Draw%23

Why?

Roda: 3+ goals in 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

RodaL0-2W2-0D0-0W1-0D1-1

Jong PSV U21L1-3D1-1L1-3W3-1D1-1

Last 8 meetings

5Roda won

1Draw

2Jong PSV U21 won

3.4
Goals per game5/8
Over 2.56/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Roda · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Jong PSV U21 · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Roda · last 9 at home4.7 corners, 0.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/9Over 4.5 corners3/9Over 5.5 corners3/9

Jong PSV U21 · last 9 away6.1 corners, 0.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners6/9Over 5.5 corners5/9Over 0.5 cards7/9Over 1.5 cards1/9

10P. Holseter-Karlsen

Bench

Stijn Kuijsten, Eskil Moedt, D. Stam, K. Penso, J. Beerens

Jong PSV U21 – RodaApril 1, 2024 · Eerste Divisie2-3

Roda – Jong PSV U21December 8, 2023 · Eerste Divisie2-1

Jong PSV U21 – RodaApril 3, 2023 · Eerste Divisie5-1

Roda – Jong PSV U21September 9, 2022 · Eerste Divisie1-1

76'⚽Austyn JonesAssist: Philip Holseter-Karlsen

80'⇄Nadir MaoujoudiOff: Jeremiah Mensah

82'✕Austyn JonesMissed penalty

84'⚽Mitchel Paulissen

89'⇄S DitmerOff: Rivas Manuhutu

89'⇄Dyran StamOff: Philip Holseter-Karlsen

Statistics

52%Possession48%

1.39Expected goals1.35

19Total shots7

3Shots on target4

7Corners4

11Fouls8

3Offsides1

0Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

3Saves2

Jong PSV U21: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Roda scored 1.1 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Jong PSV U21 scored 1.1 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Jong PSV U21 · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Roda: 10 games · Jong PSV U21: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.9

0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.8

2.3Total goals per gameleague 3.63.7

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

7/10Over 1.5league %8610/10

4/10Over 2.5league %687/10

2/10Over 3.5league %446/10

0/10Over 4.5league %282/10

6/10Both scoreleague %708/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score0/10

Roda: 10 games · Jong PSV U21: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.9

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.1Total goals per gameleague 3.63.3

9/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

7/10Over 1.5league %869/10

3/10Over 2.5league %686/10

1/10Over 3.5league %445/10

1/10Over 4.5league %281/10

5/10Both scoreleague %708/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%26 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Roda win 381, 256 end level and Jong PSV U21 win 363. The actual result comes up 256 times in 1000.

%23 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

19 – 7 Shots: Roda 19 – 7 Jong PSV U21.

8.2

Man of the match: M. Paulissen (Roda), rated 8.2.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Roda · Eerste Divisie

Jong PSV U21 · Eerste Divisie

Roda · All games

Jong PSV U21 · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Roda's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match