Jong Ajax – VVV Venlo: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Matchday 10

Jong AjaxEerste Divisie: Regular season · #16

0-3Friday, October 9

VVV VenloEerste Divisie: Regular season · #2

Match events

Jong AjaxVVV Venlo

4'⚽Edhy ZulianiAssist: Philip Heise
45'⇄Jahyendrow AmourOff: Sinclair de Falco
53'Jano Monserrate
58'⚽L. Schmidt
59'⇄Mattheos TsigkasOff: L. Schmidt
59'⇄Andreas VerstraetenOff: Mohammed Odriss

Chances to win

Jong Ajax%33

Draw%23

VVV Venlo%44

At a glance

Over 1.5

%71Over 2.5

%71Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%71Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%71

VVV Venlo win%44

Jong Ajax win%33

Under 2.5%29

Not both score%29

Draw%23

Why?

Jong Ajax: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Jong AjaxD0-0L1-6L0-2W1-0D1-1

VVV VenloW2-0L2-3W3-1W3-1L2-4

Last 8 meetings

3Jong Ajax won

1Draw

4VVV Venlo won

2.1
Goals per game2/8
Over 2.52/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Jong Ajax · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

VVV Venlo · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Jong Ajax · last 10 at home5.3 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners

VVV Venlo · last 10 away4.2 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards7/10Over 1.5 cards4/10

8Ismail Oulad M'Hand

38Tristan Schenkhuizen

Bench

T. Doornbusch, Zidane Taylan, Tijn Joosten, L. Görlich, M. Davis, A. Verstraeten, Yousri El Anbri, M. Tsigkas, Thomas Janssen, A. Rais, D. Hendrix

VVV Venlo – Jong AjaxMay 3, 2024 · Eerste Divisie2-0

Jong Ajax – VVV VenloOctober 6, 2023 · Eerste Divisie3-0

VVV Venlo – Jong AjaxApril 28, 2023 · Eerste Divisie0-1

Jong Ajax – VVV VenloOctober 24, 2022 · Eerste Divisie1-1

Diego PugnoOff: Leo Salazar

65'⚽Philip HeisePenalty

73'⇄Abdoulaye CamaraOff: Jinairo Johnson

73'⇄Jeshurun SimeonOff: Pharell Nash

78'⇄Thomas JanssenOff: Ismail Oulad M'Hand

78'⇄Amir raisOff: Edhy Zuliani

82'⇄Luis GorlichOff: Tristan Schenkhuizen

85'⇄Paulo Da SilvaOff: emre unuvar

Statistics

40%Possession60%

1.4Expected goals2.46

13Total shots19

3Shots on target5

5Corners10

19Fouls14

1Offsides3

2Yellow cards0

1Red cards0

1Saves3

VVV Venlo: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Jong Ajax scored 1.7 and conceded 2.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

VVV Venlo scored 1.4 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Jong Ajax · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

VVV Venlo · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Jong Ajax: 10 games · VVV Venlo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)2.0

2.2Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.63.6

9/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

9/10Over 1.5league %869/10

6/10Over 2.5league %687/10

3/10Over 3.5league %445/10

3/10Over 4.5league %283/10

5/10Both scoreleague %706/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

5/10Failed to score2/10

Jong Ajax: 10 games · VVV Venlo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)2.5

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.8

3.4Total goals per gameleague 3.64.3

9/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

8/10Over 1.5league %8610/10

6/10Over 2.5league %688/10

4/10Over 3.5league %446/10

4/10Over 4.5league %284/10

6/10Both scoreleague %707/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.40 – 2.46 The score the chances deserved (xG): Jong Ajax 1.40 – 2.46 VVV Venlo.

%61 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Jong Ajax win 207, 186 end level and VVV Venlo win 607. The actual result comes up 607 times in 1000.

5 – 10 Corners: Jong Ajax 5 – 10 VVV Venlo.

8.2

Man of the match: E. Zuliani (VVV Venlo), rated 8.2.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Jong Ajax · Eerste Divisie

VVV Venlo · Eerste Divisie

Jong Ajax · All games

VVV Venlo · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Jong Ajax's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match