Vitesse – Emmen: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Matchday 12

VitesseEerste Divisie: Regular season · #8

0-2Friday, October 23

EmmenEerste Divisie: Regular season · #3

Match events

VitesseEmmen

22'Alessandro Hojabrpour
35'Freddy Quispel
45'⇄Nino ZonneveldOff: Pontus Dahbo
61'⚽Jack Cooper LoveAssist: Bryan Van Hove
63'⇄Maximilian BrüllOff: Connor van den Berg
69'⇄Joâo PintoOff: Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira

Chances to win

Vitesse%42

Draw%25

Emmen%33

At a glance

Over 1.5

%62Over 2.5

%64Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%64

Vitesse win%42

Under 2.5%38

Not both score%36

Emmen win%33

Draw%25

Why?

Vitesse: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

VitesseW1-0L0-2D2-2L0-2W3-1

EmmenW2-1W3-0D1-1W1-0L1-3

Last 12 meetings

6Vitesse won

5Draw

1Emmen won

3.8
Goals per game9/12
Over 2.510/12
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Vitesse · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Emmen · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Vitesse · last 10 at home7.4 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners10/10Over 4.5 corners10/10Over 5.5 corners9/10Over 0.5 cards

Emmen · last 10 away5.4 corners, 3.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

K. Roos, Kevin Norder, J. Mukeh, C. Østergaard, V. Carus, L. Denk, C. Sunder, J. Huijzer, Stan van Manen, D. Lambers

Emmen – VitesseFebruary 4, 2023 · Eredivisie2-2

Vitesse – EmmenOctober 22, 2022 · Eredivisie2-1

Emmen – VitesseJanuary 16, 2021 · Eredivisie1-4

Vitesse – EmmenNovember 8, 2020 · Eredivisie3-1

Vitesse – EmmenJanuary 26, 2020 · Eredivisie1-1

Emmen – VitesseNovember 3, 2019 · Eredivisie2-1

Emmen – VitesseFebruary 24, 2019 · Eredivisie0-3

Vitesse – EmmenDecember 1, 2018 · Eredivisie1-1

Alexander BüttnerOff: Mathijs Marschalk

78'⇄Luca DenkOff: Alessandro Hojabrpour

78'⇄Daan LambersOff: Sybrand Veldhuis

78'⇄Joshua MukehOff: Freddy Quispel

81'⇄Eduard·ProbstOff: Marco Schikora

81'⇄Jeredy HiltermanOff: Xiamaro thenu

90+6'⚽Michael BreijPenalty

Statistics

45%Possession55%

1.7Expected goals3.2

11Total shots10

4Shots on target6

9Corners7

8Fouls15

1Offsides1

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

4Saves4

Emmen: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

Vitesse scored 2.0 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Emmen scored 1.9 and conceded 2.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Vitesse · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Emmen · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Vitesse: 10 games · Emmen: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)2.0

1.7Goals conceded (avg)2.2

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.64.2

9/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8610/10

7/10Over 2.5league %687/10

5/10Over 3.5league %446/10

2/10Over 4.5league %283/10

7/10Both scoreleague %705/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

Vitesse: 10 games · Emmen: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.63.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

8/10Over 1.5league %869/10

4/10Over 2.5league %686/10

3/10Over 3.5league %443/10

1/10Over 4.5league %281/10

4/10Both scoreleague %705/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

4/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%33 Our model's pre-match chance of an Emmen win.

%67 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Vitesse win 177, 151 end level and Emmen win 672. The actual result comes up 672 times in 1000.

1.70 – 3.20 The score the chances deserved (xG): Vitesse 1.70 – 3.20 Emmen.

7.8

Man of the match: M. Breij (Emmen), rated 7.8.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 12 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Vitesse · Eerste Divisie

Emmen · Eerste Divisie

Vitesse · All games

Emmen · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Vitesse's ground

Last 12 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match