Emmen – Almere City FC: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Matchday 11

EmmenEerste Divisie: Regular season · #3

2-1Saturday, October 17

Almere City FCEerste Divisie: Regular season · #4

Match events

EmmenAlmere City FC

7'⚽Jack Cooper Love
25'⚽Jack Cooper LoveAssist: Freddy Quispel
28'Joey Jacobs
30'Emanuel Poku
33'Jack Cooper Love
45'⇄H. el DahriOff: Martin Jean Wasinski
45'

Chances to win

Emmen%41

Draw%24

Almere City FC%34

At a glance

Over 1.5

%65Over 2.5

%67Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%65Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%67

Emmen win%41

Under 2.5%35

Almere City FC win%34

Not both score%33

Draw%24

Why?

Emmen: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

EmmenW3-0D1-1W1-0L1-3L1-2

Almere City FCW3-0W1-0L2-3W1-0W4-0

Last 4 meetings

0Emmen won

0Draw

4Almere City FC won

4.0
Goals per game3/4
Over 2.53/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Emmen · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Almere City FC · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Emmen · last 10 at home6.9 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Almere City FC · last 7 away5.0 corners, 1.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/7Over 4.5 corners4/7Over 5.5 corners2/7Over 0.5 cards5/7Over 1.5 cards1/7

Bench

J. van der Wilt, J. van der Mark, T. Bijleveld, E. van de Blaak, D. van Bruggen, M. Hoedemakers, J. Kalisvaart, H. El Dahri, J. Ritmeester van de Kamp, B. Burgering, Bas Huisman

Mees HoedemakersOff: Milan de Haan

45'⇄Jochem Ritmeester Van De KampOff: Emanuel Poku

72'⇄Stan van ManenOff: Sybrand Veldhuis

72'⇄Daan LambersOff: Freddy Quispel

72'⇄Byron BurgeringOff: Jamie Jacobs

72'⇄Teun BijleveldOff: Tiziano vianello

77'⚽Ferdy DruijfAssist: H. el Dahri

84'⇄Luca DenkOff: Torben Rhein

90+3'⇄V CarusOff: Michael Breij

Statistics

49%Possession51%

3.55Expected goals2.06

20Total shots16

6Shots on target8

8Corners3

10Fouls16

1Offsides1

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

6Saves4

Almere City FC: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

Emmen scored 1.8 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Almere City FC scored 2.1 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Emmen · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Almere City FC · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Emmen: 10 games · Almere City FC: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)2.1

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.2

3.4Total goals per gameleague 3.63.3

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

7/10Over 1.5league %8610/10

7/10Over 2.5league %687/10

4/10Over 3.5league %444/10

2/10Over 4.5league %282/10

7/10Both scoreleague %706/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

0/10Failed to score1/10

Emmen: 10 games · Almere City FC: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.0

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.62.8

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

9/10Over 1.5league %867/10

6/10Over 2.5league %686/10

3/10Over 3.5league %443/10

1/10Over 4.5league %282/10

5/10Both scoreleague %704/10

4/10Clean sheets5/10

1/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%66 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Emmen win 659, 144 end level and Almere City FC win 197. The actual result comes up 659 times in 1000.

3.55 – 2.06 The score the chances deserved (xG): Emmen 3.55 – 2.06 Almere City FC.

8 – 3 Corners: Emmen 8 – 3 Almere City FC.

8.0

Man of the match: F. Druijf (Almere City FC), rated 8.0.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Emmen · Eerste Divisie

Almere City FC · Eerste Divisie

Emmen · All games

Almere City FC · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Emmen's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match