FC Eindhoven – Vitesse: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Matchday 11

FC EindhovenEerste Divisie: Regular season · #19

0-1Friday, October 16

VitesseEerste Divisie: Regular season · #8

Match events

FC EindhovenVitesse

38'Junior Poortvliet
39'⚽Naoufal Bannis
44'Pontus Dahbo
53'valon zumberi
55'Clint Essers
58'⇄Alexander BüttnerOff: Youssef Ouallil
58'

Chances to win

FC Eindhoven%31

Draw%25

Vitesse%45

At a glance

Over 1.5

%62Over 2.5

%64Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%64

Vitesse win%45

Under 2.5%38

Not both score%36

FC Eindhoven win%31

Draw%25

Why?

FC Eindhoven: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

FC EindhovenL0-3D2-2L2-4W3-1W2-1

VitesseL0-2D2-2L0-2W3-1L0-1

Last 4 meetings

0FC Eindhoven won

3Draw

1Vitesse won

3.5
Goals per game2/4
Over 2.53/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

FC Eindhoven · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Vitesse · last 10 away5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

FC Eindhoven · last 10 at home4.2 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners

Vitesse · last 10 away3.5 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

T. Bodak, M. Brull, O. Achouitar, L. Wouters, N. Markelo, A. Büttner, M. Marschalk, Koen te Veluwe, Teun Bosch, Nino Zonneveld, Yuval Ranon, E. Probst

Mathijs MarschalkOff: Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira

58'⇄Koen Te VeluweOff: Pontus Dahbo

61'⇄Luc NettenOff: Junior Poortvliet

61'⇄Hugo DeenenOff: Vicente Besuijen

75'⇄Luuk WoutersOff: Xiamaro thenu

80'⇄Niek MunstersOff: Guus Beaumont

84'⇄Eduard·ProbstOff: Naoufal Bannis

87'⇄Lasse AbildgaardOff: Clint Essers

87'⇄Lennon SmuldersOff: Xander Blomme

Statistics

56%Possession44%

0.89Expected goals0.33

7Total shots7

3Shots on target2

2Corners5

19Fouls20

2Offsides5

4Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

1Saves3

Vitesse: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

FC Eindhoven scored 1.7 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Vitesse scored 1.8 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

FC Eindhoven · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Vitesse · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

FC Eindhoven: 10 games · Vitesse: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.9Goals conceded (avg)0.9

3.7Total goals per gameleague 3.62.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

8/10Over 1.5league %868/10

8/10Over 2.5league %684/10

6/10Over 3.5league %442/10

2/10Over 4.5league %281/10

8/10Both scoreleague %703/10

1/10Clean sheets4/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

FC Eindhoven: 10 games · Vitesse: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.4

2.0Goals conceded (avg)1.2

3.7Total goals per gameleague 3.62.6

9/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

8/10Over 1.5league %868/10

8/10Over 2.5league %684/10

5/10Over 3.5league %443/10

3/10Over 4.5league %281/10

7/10Both scoreleague %704/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%13 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), FC Eindhoven win 479, 389 end level and Vitesse win 132. The actual result comes up 132 times in 1000.

0.89 – 0.33 The score the chances deserved (xG): FC Eindhoven 0.89 – 0.33 Vitesse.

7.6

Man of the match: N. Bannis (Vitesse), rated 7.6.

%45 Our model's pre-match chance of an Vitesse win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

FC Eindhoven · Eerste Divisie

Vitesse · Eerste Divisie

FC Eindhoven · All games

Vitesse · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at FC Eindhoven's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match