Den Bosch – MVV: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Matchday 12

Den BoschEerste Divisie: Regular season · #13

2-2Friday, October 23

MVVEerste Divisie: Regular season · #9

Match events

Den BoschMVV

9'⚽Sebastian Karlsson GrachAssist: Kevin Monzialo
45+1'Thijme Verheijen
54'⚽Robert Klaasen
61'⚽Ilias BoumassaoudiAssist: Devon Findell·De Corte
71'Jeffry Fortes
74'⇄Delano AsanteOff: Mika Luijendijk
74'

Chances to win

Den Bosch%56

Draw%22

MVV%22

At a glance

Over 1.5

%65Over 2.5

%63Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%65Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%63

Den Bosch win%56

Not both score%37

Under 2.5%35

Draw%22

MVV win%22

Why?

Den Bosch: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Den BoschW2-1W1-0D1-1L0-1W2-1

MVVL1-5L0-1L1-4W2-0L1-6

Last 15 meetings

6Den Bosch won

2Draw

7MVV won

3.6
Goals per game11/15
Over 2.511/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Den Bosch · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

MVV · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Den Bosch · last 9 at home6.3 corners, 0.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners7/9Over 5.5 corners5/9Over 0.5 cards

MVV · last 10 away3.3 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards5/10Over 1.5 cards4/10

Bench

S. van der Heijden, V. Goffings, Sven Bouland, A. Amgar, M. Kuipers, D. Asante, Naïm Matoug, O. Zimuangana

Den Bosch – MVVAugust 23, 2024 · Eerste Divisie1-1

MVV – Den BoschMarch 23, 2024 · Eerste Divisie1-0

Den Bosch – MVVSeptember 15, 2023 · Eerste Divisie3-2

Den Bosch – MVVJanuary 27, 2023 · Eerste Divisie3-3

MVV – Den BoschOctober 22, 2022 · Eerste Divisie3-1

Den Bosch – MVVMarch 11, 2022 · Eerste Divisie3-1

MVV – Den BoschNovember 15, 2021 · Eerste Divisie0-1

Den Bosch – MVVJuly 24, 2021 · Friendlies Clubs1-2

MVV – Den BoschMay 12, 2021 · Eerste Divisie3-1

Den Bosch – MVVSeptember 22, 2020 · Eerste Divisie2-0

MVV – Den BoschFebruary 28, 2020 · Eerste Divisie2-3

Naim MatougOff: Olivier·Dumont

77'⇄Wang BohaoOff: Sebastian Karlsson Grach

77'⇄Jack de VriesOff: Boris van Schuppen

78'⚽Finn DickeAssist: Lennerd Daneels

80'Pepijn van de Merbel

82'⇄Finn MurreOff: Ilias Boumassaoudi

85'⇄Onesime ZimuanganaOff: Yael Liesdek

85'⇄Sven BoulandOff: Milan·Hofland

87'⇄Lorenzo HoffmanOff: Devon Findell·De Corte

89'⇄Yanis BourardOff: Thijme Verheijen

90+3'Sil van der Wegen

Statistics

52%Possession48%

1.1Expected goals0.89

15Total shots11

5Shots on target5

9Corners3

11Fouls10

5Offsides4

1Yellow cards2

1Red cards0

3Saves3

MVV: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Den Bosch scored 1.7 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

MVV scored 1.0 and conceded 2.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Den Bosch · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

MVV · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Den Bosch: 10 games · MVV: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.9Goals conceded (avg)2.0

3.7Total goals per gameleague 3.63.2

10/10Over 0.5league %989/10

10/10Over 1.5league %868/10

7/10Over 2.5league %686/10

5/10Over 3.5league %444/10

3/10Over 4.5league %283/10

10/10Both scoreleague %708/10

0/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

Den Bosch: 10 games · MVV: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.8Goals conceded (avg)2.7

3.3Total goals per gameleague 3.63.7

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

8/10Over 1.5league %869/10

6/10Over 2.5league %687/10

4/10Over 3.5league %445/10

2/10Over 4.5league %283/10

7/10Both scoreleague %706/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%31 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Den Bosch win 401, 307 end level and MVV win 291. The actual result comes up 307 times in 1000.

%22 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

9 – 3 Corners: Den Bosch 9 – 3 MVV.

1.10 – 0.89 The score the chances deserved (xG): Den Bosch 1.10 – 0.89 MVV.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Den Bosch · Eerste Divisie

MVV · Eerste Divisie

Den Bosch · All games

MVV · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Den Bosch's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match